Wonderful article, thank you
I'd love to quote a paragraph from the book 'Thinking fast and slow', by Daniel kahneman:
The experts performed worse than they would have if they had simply assigned equal probabilities to each of the three potential outcomes. In other words, people who spend their time, and earn their living, studying a particular topic produce poorer predictions than dart-throwing monkeys who would have distributed their choices evenly over the options. Even in the region they knew best, experts were not significantly better than nonspecialists.
Another book that goes in depth about the subject is: Range: Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World
Check it out
Thank you for these book recommendations!
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