The latest articles on DEV Community by caaaaaleb (@caaaaaleb). https://dev.to/caaaaaleb https://media2.dev.to/dynamic/image/width=90,height=90,fit=cover,gravity=auto,format=auto/https:%2F%2Fdev-to-uploads.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com%2Fuploads%2Fuser%2Fprofile_image%2F1894868%2F570f3d64-c928-461b-a310-3069f5ce4510.png https://dev.to/caaaaaleb en caaaaaleb Thu, 17 Sep 2026 07:45:42 +0000 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/new-york-city-fc-vs-new-york-red-bulls-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-09-18-4dp7 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/new-york-city-fc-vs-new-york-red-bulls-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-09-18-4dp7 <p><em>Published: 2026-09-17 | <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a></em></p> <h2> New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — World Cup 2026-09-18 </h2> <h3> Model Predictions </h3> <p>Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> projects:</p> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Outcome</th> <th>Probability</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>New York City FC</td> <td><strong>47.0%</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Draw</td> <td>24.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>New York Red Bulls</td> <td>28.2%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p><strong>ELO:</strong> New York City FC 1401 → New York Red Bulls 1363</p> <h3> Best Available Odds </h3> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>New York City FC</th> <th>Draw</th> <th>New York Red Bulls</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>1.72</td> <td>3.78</td> <td>3.53</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <h3> Most Likely Scorelines </h3> <ul> <li>1-1 <em>(12.1%)</em> </li> <li>1-0 <em>(11.2%)</em> </li> <li>0-1 <em>(10.8%)</em> </li> </ul> <h3> Quick Picks — Other Matches </h3> <p><em>Predictions powered by <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.</em></p> football datascience machinelearning analytics caaaaaleb Sat, 12 Sep 2026 05:31:06 +0000 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/chicago-fire-vs-new-england-revolution-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-09-13-3lc1 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/chicago-fire-vs-new-england-revolution-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-09-13-3lc1 <p><em>Published: 2026-09-12 | <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a></em></p> <h2> Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution — World Cup 2026-09-13 </h2> <h3> Model Predictions </h3> <p>Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> projects:</p> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Outcome</th> <th>Probability</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Chicago Fire</td> <td><strong>52.6%</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Draw</td> <td>22.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>New England Revolution</td> <td>24.4%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p><strong>ELO:</strong> Chicago Fire 1394 → New England Revolution 1336</p> <h3> Best Available Odds </h3> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Chicago Fire</th> <th>Draw</th> <th>New England Revolution</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>1.72</td> <td>3.82</td> <td>3.5</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <h3> Most Likely Scorelines </h3> <ul> <li>1-1 <em>(12.1%)</em> </li> <li>1-0 <em>(11.2%)</em> </li> <li>0-1 <em>(10.8%)</em> </li> </ul> <h3> Quick Picks — Other Matches </h3> <p><em>Predictions powered by <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.</em></p> football datascience machinelearning analytics caaaaaleb Thu, 10 Sep 2026 10:15:46 +0000 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/bk-hacken-vs-mjallby-aif-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-09-11-5413 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/bk-hacken-vs-mjallby-aif-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-09-11-5413 <p><em>Published: 2026-09-10 | <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a></em></p> <h2> BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF — World Cup 2026-09-11 </h2> <h3> Model Predictions </h3> <p>Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> projects:</p> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Outcome</th> <th>Probability</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>BK Hacken</td> <td><strong>42.5%</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Draw</td> <td>24.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Mjallby AIF</td> <td>32.6%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p><strong>ELO:</strong> BK Hacken 1503 → Mjallby AIF 1512</p> <h3> Best Available Odds </h3> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>BK Hacken</th> <th>Draw</th> <th>Mjallby AIF</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>1.53</td> <td>4.05</td> <td>4.4</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <h3> Most Likely Scorelines </h3> <ul> <li>1-1 <em>(12.7%)</em> </li> <li>0-1 <em>(11.9%)</em> </li> <li>1-0 <em>(11.6%)</em> </li> </ul> <h3> Quick Picks — Other Matches </h3> <ul> <li> <strong>BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF</strong>: H43% / D25% / A33% — 2026-09-11</li> <li> <strong>BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF</strong>: H43% / D25% / A33% — 2026-09-11</li> <li> <strong>BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF</strong>: H43% / D25% / A33% — 2026-09-11</li> <li> <strong>BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF</strong>: H43% / D25% / A33% — 2026-09-11</li> </ul> <p><em>Predictions powered by <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.</em></p> football datascience machinelearning analytics caaaaaleb Wed, 09 Sep 2026 03:14:55 +0000 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/chicago-fire-vs-inter-miami-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-09-10-18gc https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/chicago-fire-vs-inter-miami-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-09-10-18gc <p><em>Published: 2026-09-09 | <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a></em></p> <h2> Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami — World Cup 2026-09-10 </h2> <h3> Model Predictions </h3> <p>Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> projects:</p> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Outcome</th> <th>Probability</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Chicago Fire</td> <td><strong>33.0%</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Draw</td> <td>21.4%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Inter Miami</td> <td>45.6%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p><strong>ELO:</strong> Chicago Fire 1394 → Inter Miami 1534</p> <p>The betting market prices Inter Miami at ~43.5% implied probability, while the model estimates <strong>45.6%</strong> — Inter Miami appears slightly favored vs market odds.</p> <h3> Best Available Odds </h3> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Chicago Fire</th> <th>Draw</th> <th>Inter Miami</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>2.23</td> <td>4.06</td> <td>2.3</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <h3> Most Likely Scorelines </h3> <ul> <li>1-1 <em>(12.1%)</em> </li> <li>1-0 <em>(11.2%)</em> </li> <li>0-1 <em>(10.8%)</em> </li> </ul> <h3> Quick Picks — Other Matches </h3> <p><em>Predictions powered by <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.</em></p> football datascience machinelearning analytics caaaaaleb Sat, 05 Sep 2026 07:46:44 +0000 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/kalmar-ff-vs-djurgardens-if-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-09-07-1fmi https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/kalmar-ff-vs-djurgardens-if-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-09-07-1fmi <p><em>Published: 2026-09-05 | <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a></em></p> <h2> Kalmar FF vs Djurgardens IF — World Cup 2026-09-07 </h2> <h3> Model Predictions </h3> <p>Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> projects:</p> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Outcome</th> <th>Probability</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Kalmar FF</td> <td><strong>31.3%</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Draw</td> <td>25.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Djurgardens IF</td> <td>43.1%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p><strong>ELO:</strong> Kalmar FF 1337 → Djurgardens IF 1445</p> <h3> Best Available Odds </h3> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Kalmar FF</th> <th>Draw</th> <th>Djurgardens IF</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>4.3</td> <td>3.85</td> <td>1.57</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <h3> Most Likely Scorelines </h3> <ul> <li>1-1 <em>(12.7%)</em> </li> <li>0-1 <em>(11.9%)</em> </li> <li>1-0 <em>(11.6%)</em> </li> </ul> <h3> Quick Picks — Other Matches </h3> <p><em>Predictions powered by <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.</em></p> football datascience machinelearning analytics caaaaaleb Wed, 02 Sep 2026 06:33:33 +0000 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/mjallby-aif-vs-djurgardens-if-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-09-03-pkn https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/mjallby-aif-vs-djurgardens-if-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-09-03-pkn <p><em>Published: 2026-09-02 | <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a></em></p> <h2> Mjallby AIF vs Djurgardens IF — World Cup 2026-09-03 </h2> <h3> Model Predictions </h3> <p>Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> projects:</p> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Outcome</th> <th>Probability</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Mjallby AIF</td> <td><strong>45.1%</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Draw</td> <td>26.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Djurgardens IF</td> <td>28.6%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p><strong>ELO:</strong> Mjallby AIF 1512 → Djurgardens IF 1445</p> <p>The betting market prices Mjallby AIF at ~27.8% implied probability, while the model estimates <strong>45.1%</strong> — Mjallby AIF appears <strong>significantly undervalued</strong> by the market.</p> <h3> Best Available Odds </h3> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Mjallby AIF</th> <th>Draw</th> <th>Djurgardens IF</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>3.6</td> <td>3.8</td> <td>1.7</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <h3> Most Likely Scorelines </h3> <ul> <li>1-1 <em>(12.7%)</em> </li> <li>0-1 <em>(11.9%)</em> </li> <li>1-0 <em>(11.6%)</em> </li> </ul> <h3> Quick Picks — Other Matches </h3> <ul> <li> <strong>Mjallby AIF vs Djurgardens IF</strong>: H45% / D26% / A29% — 2026-09-03</li> <li> <strong>Mjallby AIF vs Djurgardens IF</strong>: H45% / D26% / A29% — 2026-09-03</li> </ul> <p><em>Predictions powered by <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.</em></p> football datascience machinelearning analytics caaaaaleb Sat, 22 Aug 2026 13:25:31 +0000 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/new-england-revolution-vs-new-york-city-fc-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-08-23-58cd https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/new-england-revolution-vs-new-york-city-fc-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-08-23-58cd <p><em>Published: 2026-08-22 | <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a></em></p> <h2> New England Revolution vs New York City FC — World Cup 2026-08-23 </h2> <h3> Model Predictions </h3> <p>Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> projects:</p> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Outcome</th> <th>Probability</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>New England Revolution</td> <td><strong>35.6%</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Draw</td> <td>25.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>New York City FC</td> <td>38.6%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p><strong>ELO:</strong> New England Revolution 1336 → New York City FC 1401</p> <p>The betting market prices New York City FC at ~35.5% implied probability, while the model estimates <strong>38.6%</strong> — New York City FC appears slightly favored vs market odds.</p> <h3> Best Available Odds </h3> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>New England Revolution</th> <th>Draw</th> <th>New York City FC</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>2.06</td> <td>3.45</td> <td>2.82</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <h3> Most Likely Scorelines </h3> <ul> <li>1-1 <em>(12.1%)</em> </li> <li>1-0 <em>(11.2%)</em> </li> <li>0-1 <em>(10.8%)</em> </li> </ul> <h3> Quick Picks — Other Matches </h3> <p><em>Predictions powered by <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.</em></p> football datascience machinelearning analytics caaaaaleb Sat, 22 Aug 2026 07:25:27 +0000 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-fc-dallas-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-08-23-1f1d https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/vancouver-whitecaps-vs-fc-dallas-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-08-23-1f1d <p><em>Published: 2026-08-22 | <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a></em></p> <h2> Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas — World Cup 2026-08-23 </h2> <h3> Model Predictions </h3> <p>Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> projects:</p> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Outcome</th> <th>Probability</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Vancouver Whitecaps</td> <td><strong>52.7%</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Draw</td> <td>22.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>FC Dallas</td> <td>25.0%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p><strong>ELO:</strong> Vancouver Whitecaps 1480 → FC Dallas 1391</p> <h3> Best Available Odds </h3> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Vancouver Whitecaps</th> <th>Draw</th> <th>FC Dallas</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>1.39</td> <td>4.35</td> <td>5.55</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <h3> Most Likely Scorelines </h3> <ul> <li>1-1 <em>(12.1%)</em> </li> <li>1-0 <em>(11.2%)</em> </li> <li>0-1 <em>(10.8%)</em> </li> </ul> <h3> Quick Picks — Other Matches </h3> <ul> <li> <strong>New England Revolution vs New York City FC</strong>: H36% / D26% / A39% — 2026-08-23</li> </ul> <p><em>Predictions powered by <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.</em></p> football datascience machinelearning analytics caaaaaleb Wed, 19 Aug 2026 11:56:53 +0000 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/colorado-rapids-vs-los-angeles-fc-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-08-20-1ok https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/colorado-rapids-vs-los-angeles-fc-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-08-20-1ok <p><em>Published: 2026-08-19 | <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a></em></p> <h2> Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles FC — World Cup 2026-08-20 </h2> <h3> Model Predictions </h3> <p>Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> projects:</p> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Outcome</th> <th>Probability</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Colorado Rapids</td> <td><strong>34.5%</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Draw</td> <td>23.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Los Angeles FC</td> <td>41.9%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p><strong>ELO:</strong> Colorado Rapids 1319 → Los Angeles FC 1452</p> <p>The betting market prices Los Angeles FC at ~41.8% implied probability, while the model estimates <strong>41.9%</strong> — Los Angeles FC appears slightly favored vs market odds.</p> <h3> Best Available Odds </h3> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Colorado Rapids</th> <th>Draw</th> <th>Los Angeles FC</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>2.5</td> <td>3.22</td> <td>2.39</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <h3> Most Likely Scorelines </h3> <ul> <li>1-1 <em>(12.1%)</em> </li> <li>1-0 <em>(11.2%)</em> </li> <li>0-1 <em>(10.8%)</em> </li> </ul> <h3> Quick Picks — Other Matches </h3> <p><em>Predictions powered by <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.</em></p> football datascience machinelearning analytics caaaaaleb Wed, 19 Aug 2026 05:56:37 +0000 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/new-york-red-bulls-vs-nashville-sc-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-08-19-1l8g https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/new-york-red-bulls-vs-nashville-sc-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-08-19-1l8g <p><em>Published: 2026-08-19 | <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a></em></p> <h2> New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC — World Cup 2026-08-19 </h2> <h3> Model Predictions </h3> <p>Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> projects:</p> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Outcome</th> <th>Probability</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>New York Red Bulls</td> <td><strong>41.8%</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Draw</td> <td>25.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Nashville SC</td> <td>32.9%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p><strong>ELO:</strong> New York Red Bulls 1363 → Nashville SC 1444</p> <p>The betting market prices New York Red Bulls at ~36.5% implied probability, while the model estimates <strong>41.8%</strong> — New York Red Bulls appears <strong>undervalued</strong> by the market.</p> <h3> Best Available Odds </h3> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>New York Red Bulls</th> <th>Draw</th> <th>Nashville SC</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>2.74</td> <td>3.5</td> <td>2.09</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <h3> Most Likely Scorelines </h3> <ul> <li>1-1 <em>(12.1%)</em> </li> <li>1-0 <em>(11.2%)</em> </li> <li>0-1 <em>(10.8%)</em> </li> </ul> <h3> Quick Picks — Other Matches </h3> <ul> <li> <strong>Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles FC</strong>: H35% / D24% / A42% — 2026-08-20</li> </ul> <p><em>Predictions powered by <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.</em></p> football datascience machinelearning analytics caaaaaleb Sun, 16 Aug 2026 05:04:07 +0000 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/bk-hacken-vs-halmstad-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-08-17-275h https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/bk-hacken-vs-halmstad-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-08-17-275h <p><em>Published: 2026-08-16 | <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a></em></p> <h2> BK Hacken vs Halmstad — World Cup 2026-08-17 </h2> <h3> Model Predictions </h3> <p>Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> projects:</p> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Outcome</th> <th>Probability</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>BK Hacken</td> <td><strong>60.6%</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Draw</td> <td>21.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Halmstad</td> <td>18.2%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p><strong>ELO:</strong> BK Hacken 1503 → Halmstad 1282</p> <h3> Best Available Odds </h3> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>BK Hacken</th> <th>Draw</th> <th>Halmstad</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>1.21</td> <td>5.6</td> <td>8.05</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <h3> Most Likely Scorelines </h3> <ul> <li>1-1 <em>(12.7%)</em> </li> <li>0-1 <em>(11.9%)</em> </li> <li>1-0 <em>(11.6%)</em> </li> </ul> <h3> Quick Picks — Other Matches </h3> <ul> <li> <strong>BK Hacken vs Halmstad</strong>: H61% / D21% / A18% — 2026-08-17</li> </ul> <p><em>Predictions powered by <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.</em></p> football datascience machinelearning analytics caaaaaleb Sat, 15 Aug 2026 23:00:49 +0000 https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/new-york-city-fc-vs-philadelphia-union-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-08-16-322g https://dev.to/caaaaaleb/new-york-city-fc-vs-philadelphia-union-match-prediction-model-analysis-2026-08-16-322g <p><em>Published: 2026-08-15 | <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a></em></p> <h2> New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union — World Cup 2026-08-16 </h2> <h3> Model Predictions </h3> <p>Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> projects:</p> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>Outcome</th> <th>Probability</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>New York City FC</td> <td><strong>44.5%</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Draw</td> <td>25.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Philadelphia Union</td> <td>30.5%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <p><strong>ELO:</strong> New York City FC 1401 → Philadelphia Union 1327</p> <h3> Best Available Odds </h3> <div class="table-wrapper-paragraph"><table> <thead> <tr> <th>New York City FC</th> <th>Draw</th> <th>Philadelphia Union</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>2.1</td> <td>3.45</td> <td>2.75</td> </tr> </tbody> </table></div> <h3> Most Likely Scorelines </h3> <ul> <li>1-1 <em>(12.1%)</em> </li> <li>1-0 <em>(11.2%)</em> </li> <li>0-1 <em>(10.8%)</em> </li> </ul> <h3> Quick Picks — Other Matches </h3> <ul> <li> <strong>BK Hacken vs Halmstad</strong>: H61% / D21% / A18% — 2026-08-17</li> <li> <strong>BK Hacken vs Halmstad</strong>: H61% / D21% / A18% — 2026-08-17</li> </ul> <p><em>Predictions powered by <a href="https://footballmoney.top" rel="noopener noreferrer">footballmoney.top</a> — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.</em></p> football datascience machinelearning analytics