How Fixed-Price Airport Transfers Are Priced: A Simple Linear Model with Real Data

Taxi Aeroport Nice — Fri, 13 Nov 2026 15:25:52 +0000

When you book a private transfer from Nice Côte d'Azur Airport (NCE), the price is fixed before you travel. I operate the booking site Taxi Aéroport Nice, so I wanted to check how well a very simple model explains our own prices.

The data

Eight routes from NCE with the distance in km and the published one-way price in euros for a standard car, tolls included:

import numpy as np
routes = {
    "Antibes": (21, 78), "Cannes": (32, 86), "Monaco": (34, 95),
    "Grasse": (42, 106), "Menton": (44, 112), "Fayence": (63, 149),
    "Saint-Raphael": (65, 152), "Saint-Tropez": (111, 236),
}
km = np.array([v[0] for v in routes.values()])
eur = np.array([v[1] for v in routes.values()])
slope, base = np.polyfit(km, eur, 1)
print(round(slope, 2), round(base, 1))   # 1.82  32.9

The result

A straight line fits almost perfectly: about €1.82 per km plus a fixed €33 base fee, with R² = 0.995. Most routes are within €7 of the line. Antibes is the biggest outlier (€7 above the line), because short trips carry the base fee.

What this means for a traveller

The price is roughly linear in distance, so there is no hidden "airport surcharge" beyond the base fee. Because the fare covers the whole vehicle, the cost per person drops as the group grows: Monaco at €95 is about €32 each for three people.

Limits

Eight routes are a small sample and the line ignores toll roads, mountain roads and ski resorts, which are priced higher per km. Prices are from the website in November 2026 and may change.

You can check any route on the Taxi Aéroport Nice booking page, for example Nice Airport to Monaco.

Disclosure: I run this service. Data and prices are the ones published on the website.

Taxi Aéroport Nice (NCE) · Stamati Constantin / BLACKCARS

SIRET 537 609 786 00034 · 35 B Rue de France, 06000 Nice, France

Tél. +33 7 53 54 87 71 · contact@taxiaeroportnice.com

DEV Community: Taxi Aeroport Nice

How Fixed-Price Airport Transfers Are Priced: A Simple Linear Model with Real Data

The data

The result

What this means for a traveller

Limits