Bitcoin ( $BTC ) fell sharply from an intraday high of $102,712 to $97,566, losing 5% in value within 24 hours. Increased market volatility follows strong U.S. jobs data and speculation over the Federal Reserve's next rate move.
๐ Jobs Data Signals Limited Rate Cuts
The JOLTS jobs report revealed an increase of 259,000 job openings, signaling a resilient U.S. labor market. Additionally, ISM Services Prices PMI indicates economic strength, reducing expectations of aggressive Fed rate cuts in 2025.
๐ต DXY and Treasury Yields Spike
The U.S. dollar index (DXY) rebounded sharply above 108.50, and the 10-year Treasury yield hit a 35-week high of 4.68%. This spike pressured Bitcoin, causing a decline in trading interest despite increased volume by 27% in the past day.
๐ ETF Inflows Support Long-Term Bullish Outlook
Despite the pullback, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs remain strong. Analysts from K33 Research reported the most significant 2-day ETF flow since mid-November, supporting institutional confidence in Bitcoinโs long-term trajectory.
๐ Trumpโs Pro-Crypto Policies Fuel Optimism
Investors are optimistic about Donald Trumpโs pro-crypto administration, expected to push for regulatory clarity post-inauguration on January 20. This anticipation has driven Bitcoinโs rally past $100K in recent weeks.
โ ๏ธ Warning of Mid-March Correction
Arthur Hayes, BitMEX co-founder, predicts a market correction in mid-March due to declining U.S. dollar liquidity. While current liquidity measures sustain Bitcoin's rally, their long-term impact remains uncertain.
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