I don't mean to be the downer in this thread but overall pessimistic, at least in the scope of decades.
I think the near future has a lot of reasons to be optimistic, I think software development will be in high demand for quite a while, but I don't think this trend will continue in the long term. I don't think the breaking point will necessarily be the global pandemic or the recession that's in tow; I think it'll be loss of profitability. When big tech companies (or maybe even not so big tech companies?) and venture capital start to see their return on investment start to slow is when we'll start to see the really scary stuff happen. In a similar vein I also think companies like Fiverr and Upwork are ominous signs of the world to come.
Software is expensive and I expect there to be an overall trend to drive down the cost of making software (and we're already seeing that). The first big boon to saving profitability has been the so-called open source revolution. The next one, I suspect, will be the large-scale devaluing of developers themselves. What happens after that point though is anyone's guess.
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I don't mean to be the downer in this thread but overall pessimistic, at least in the scope of decades.
I think the near future has a lot of reasons to be optimistic, I think software development will be in high demand for quite a while, but I don't think this trend will continue in the long term. I don't think the breaking point will necessarily be the global pandemic or the recession that's in tow; I think it'll be loss of profitability. When big tech companies (or maybe even not so big tech companies?) and venture capital start to see their return on investment start to slow is when we'll start to see the really scary stuff happen. In a similar vein I also think companies like Fiverr and Upwork are ominous signs of the world to come.
Software is expensive and I expect there to be an overall trend to drive down the cost of making software (and we're already seeing that). The first big boon to saving profitability has been the so-called open source revolution. The next one, I suspect, will be the large-scale devaluing of developers themselves. What happens after that point though is anyone's guess.