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Navigating the Semiconductor Sea: Nasdaq Stocks, Trade Policies, and TSMC's Lead

Nasdaq Semiconductor Related News

Market Fluctuations and Regulatory Updates

Selloff and Recovery

Semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, Qualcomm, and Intel, experienced a selloff recently, despite initial gains following Micron Technology's upbeat quarterly report and a U.S. Fed rate cut. However, the sector has shown signs of recovery. For instance, Broadcom shares rose by 11.1% after reports of new Biden administration semiconductor rules, highlighting investor confidence in the broader semiconductor market.

Biden Administration's Trade Restrictions

The Biden administration is considering stricter trade restrictions on advanced semiconductor technology to prevent China from accessing cutting-edge chipmaking equipment. This includes potentially using the foreign direct product rule (FDPR) to control goods manufactured abroad that incorporate American technology. This move has led to significant fluctuations in global chip stocks, with companies like ASML, Nvidia, and TSMC being impacted.

Exemptions for Allies

In a recent development, the Biden administration is expected to exempt allies such as Japan and the Netherlands from upcoming trade restrictions on advanced semiconductor technology. This decision led to a rally in chip stocks, with ASML, Tokyo Electron, and SK Hynix seeing significant gains. U.S. chip firms, including Nvidia and AMD, also benefited from this news, paring some of their previous losses.

U.S. Chips Act and Environmental Scrutinies

The U.S. Chips Act has been instrumental in boosting America's semiconductor base by offering subsidies to chipmakers. The Biden administration is considering legislation to fast-track specific semiconductor manufacturing projects by exempting them from federal environmental reviews under the National Environmental Policy Act. This could provide another tailwind for the semiconductor sector.

Geopolitical Tensions

Geopolitical tensions, including comments from former President Donald Trump suggesting that Taiwan should pay the U.S. for defense, have added to the volatility in semiconductor stocks. Trump's remarks exacerbated negative sentiment, particularly affecting companies like ASML, which has significant sales in China.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.'s Advantage

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) remains a crucial supplier for major tech companies like Nvidia and Apple. China's efforts to develop its own AI chipmakers have been hindered by its significant technological gap with TSMC, which is estimated to be at least a decade ahead.

Key Points

  • Market Volatility: Semiconductor stocks have experienced recent selloffs but have shown recovery signs.
  • Regulatory Changes: The Biden administration is tightening trade restrictions on semiconductor technology to China but exempting allies like Japan and the Netherlands.
  • U.S. Chips Act: The act continues to support the U.S. semiconductor industry through subsidies and potential legislative changes to streamline project approvals.
  • Geopolitical Impact: Comments from former President Trump and ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to affect semiconductor stock performance.
  • Technological Advantage: TSMC maintains a significant technological lead over Chinese competitors.

References: https://www.benzinga.com/government/24/10/41127863/despite-nvidia-selloff-bidens-law-and-taiwan-semis-advantage-offer-growth-potential: https://www.forbes.com/sites/roberthart/2024/07/31/chip-stocks-rally-after-brutal-rout-as-biden-reportedly-eases-planned-semiconductor-trade-rules/: https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/07/40083275/broadcom-shares-trade-higher-on-heels-of-new-biden-semiconductor-rule: https://www.bloomberg.com/tosv2.html?vid=&uuid=ba46df3c-43f9-11ef-ab86-c2792837b74d&url=L25ld3MvYXJ0aWNsZXMvMjAyNC0wNy0xNy91cy1jb25zaWRlcnMtdG91Z2hlci10cmFkZS1ydWxlcy1hZ2FpbnN0LWNvbXBhbmllcy1pbi1jaGluYQ%3D%3D: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/17/global-chip-stocks-from-nvidia-to-asml-fall-as-geopolitics-trump-weigh.html


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