In the world of crypto, it’s easy to get lost amid predictions and bold statements. Some say that Bitcoin will reach $200,000 tomorrow, others discuss the inevitable entry of institutional players, but what actually works in practice? In the first episode of Crypto Minds, Unfiltered, we talk to Vincent Liu, Chief Investment Officer at Kronos Research, a company specializing in quantitative trading and venture investments in digital assets. His answers combine a deep understanding of the market, specific business cases, and practical advice for those moving large amounts of capital.
— You often speak at major events like Taipei Blockchain Week. What do you personally enjoy most about live interaction with the audience?
V: What I enjoy most is the feedback loop. Live audiences don’t just listen; they react in real time. You can feel when something resonates, when a point challenges assumptions, or when a question reveals what people are actually trying to understand beneath the surface.
Events like Taipei Blockchain Week bring together people from very different parts of the ecosystem and that diversity sharpens the conversation. It forces you to explain ideas clearly, cut through jargon, and stress-test your thinking in public.
— Kronos is one of the largest providers of real-time data for the Pyth Network. Can data in DeFi now be considered as systemically important as liquidity and capital?
V: Yes, reliable, high-quality data in DeFi is rapidly approaching the same level of systemic importance as liquidity and capital. Accurate, real-time feeds underpin pricing, risk management, and protocol stability, and gaps can create cascading effects across markets. As DeFi scales, data integrity isn’t optional, it will be a core pillar to participate safely and at scale.
— According to Kronos’ official materials, you trade on 50+ exchanges and operate infrastructure across 300+ trading servers. Based on your experience, at what scale does infrastructure start directly impacting the ability to attract institutional liquidity rather than just supporting operations?
V: Infrastructure starts influencing institutional liquidity when it’s no longer just about uptime but about speed, reliability, and risk mitigation at scale. Once latency, execution consistency, and cross-exchange connectivity reach a level where large flows can be moved without slippage or disruption, institutions take notice.
— Recently, Changpeng Zhao stated that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 in the near future, calling it “the most obvious scenario.” As the CIO of an institutional player, how realistic do you think this level is?
V: $200,000 Bitcoin isn’t impossible, but it’s far from a given. Institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and liquidity could push it higher, yet volatility and market depth remain constraints. Over the long term, the vision of Bitcoin as a digital reserve asset supports higher potential, but it’s still a high-end scenario, not a near-term certainty.
— More and more reports suggest that institutional interest in crypto has become irreversible. Based on your experience, in which segments is this most strongly felt today?
V: Institutional interest is strongest where infrastructure, liquidity, and risk frameworks are most mature. That’s why we see significant engagement in Bitcoin and Ethereum, especially for custody-backed holdings and regulated products like ETFs. Essentially, institutions are gravitating toward segments where exposure can be measured, managed, and integrated into broader portfolio strategies.
— Kronos’ partnership with Bitget is being actively discussed across the industry. What do you consider the strongest result of this collaboration so far?
V: One main result is the ability to combine deep market research with actionable trading infrastructure. By integrating insights with a robust execution platform, the partnership helps professional participants navigate digital assets with greater precision and efficiency. It’s less about headlines and more about creating tools and frameworks that drive disciplined, informed decision-making across the market.
— Looking ahead to 2026, in which direction do you think the blockchain industry will make its most noticeable leap forward?
V: In 2026, the most noticeable leap is likely to come from real-world integration of stablecoins, payment rails, and regulated on/off ramps finally connecting seamlessly. This will make digital assets more accessible, liquid, and usable for institutions and everyday participants alike. Coupled with continued maturity in DeFi and Layer 2 solutions, the industry will shift from experimental to operational at scale.
— What investment mistakes do you most often see from companies that try to look institutional but are not actually ready for it?
V: The most common mistake is overestimating readiness, taking on complex crypto exposure without proper risk frameworks, governance, or liquidity management. Many chase headline returns instead of focusing on risk-adjusted outcomes, ignoring drawdowns and volatility. Essentially, they try to look institutional without building the infrastructure and discipline that real institutional investing demands.
— If you had to choose one metric that best reflects the institutional maturity of the crypto market, what would it be?
V: If we focus on stablecoins, the clearest metric for institutional maturity is the growth and adoption of regulated, fully backed stablecoins across real-world payment rails. It reflects not just liquidity, but also trust, compliance, and operational readiness which are key factors for institutions to confidently deploy capital in crypto markets. Robust stablecoin networks are essentially the backbone that enables scalable, risk-managed institutional participation.
— Which part of your work at Kronos Research over the past year has given you the strongest sense of progress?
V: The strongest progress this year has come from deploying AI-driven strategies that turn research into actionable insights for institutional portfolios. Leveraging these tools to analyze liquidity, volatility, and execution has improved risk management and decision-making across markets. The clearest measure of impact is seeing data-driven frameworks enable more disciplined, efficient capital allocation even in volatile conditions.
Community Q&A: Protect Capital, Master Skills, and Start Smart
- A question from investor, crypto trader, and market analyst Tyler McKnight: What crypto mistake costs people the most money, but almost no one talks about it?
V: The biggest, often-overlooked mistake is underestimating execution risk and liquidity constraints. People focus on picking the “right” asset or timing the market, but large trades in illiquid markets can wipe out gains before anyone even notices. It’s not flashy, but managing market impact, slippage, and timing properly is far more important for preserving capital than chasing headlines.
- Crypto investor & business analyst Crypto_Melania asks: What skill in crypto would you focus on developing if you knew the market was about to become twice as brutal?
V: If the market were about to get twice as brutal, the skill I’d focus on is risk discipline under stress. That means mastering position sizing, drawdown control, and execution in volatile, illiquid conditions. Markets can be unforgiving, but the ability to stay measured, make data-driven decisions, and protect capital is far more valuable than chasing returns.
- Daniel Markson, Investor & Web3 Growth Strategist, wonders: If you were starting from zero today, what would you focus on learning in crypto first?
V: If I were starting from zero today, I’d focus first on understanding the core infrastructure and mechanics of the network as how blockchain, smart contracts, and liquidity interact. From there, I’d study market structure and risk management, because knowing how to move capital safely is just as important as picking the right asset. Mastering these fundamentals lays the groundwork for informed investing and strategy in any crypto environment.
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