OpenClaw has 124,000 GitHub stars. Every AI influencer is hyping it. "It's open-source! It's free! It's the future!"
I believed them. My wallet didn't.
I spent a weekend setting up OpenClaw. What I discovered will save you hundreds of dollars — or cost you thousands if you ignore it.
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ THE HYPE vs REALITY │
├────────────────────────┬────────────────────────────────┤
│ WHAT THEY SAY │ WHAT IT COSTS │
├────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┤
│ "It's open source!" │ Software: $0 │
│ "It's free!" │ API tokens: $50-500+/mo │
│ "Just install & go!" │ VPS: $23-70/mo │
├────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┤
│ TOTAL: FREE │ TOTAL: $100-500+/month │
└────────────────────────┴────────────────────────────────┘
What The Hype Promised Me
You've seen the demos. You've watched the YouTube tutorials. OpenClaw (formerly MoltBot, formerly Clawdbot) looks like the future:
- 🚀 "It codes entire features while you sleep"
- 🤖 "It monitors your systems and alerts you automatically"
- 💬 "It responds to your Telegram like a real assistant"
- 🔥 "It creates PRs, reviews code, browses the web"
The influencers made it look effortless. MIT licensed. Free. Just install and go.
Here's what nobody showed you: The software is free. Running it costs more than your Netflix, Spotify, and gym membership combined.
The Real Cost Breakdown
The "Free" Part ✅
| Component | Cost |
|---|---|
| OpenClaw software | $0 (MIT license) |
| Cloudflare Tunnel | $0 |
| LiteLLM Proxy | $0 |
The Not-Free Part 💸
| Component | Cost |
|---|---|
| VPS (Azure/DigitalOcean) | $23-70/month |
| API tokens | $50-500+/month |
The API Bill (Where It Gets Real)
| Model | Input | Output | Reality |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-4o-mini | $0.15/M | $0.60/M | Cheap but USELESS for agents |
| GPT-4o | $2.50/M | $10/M | Minimum viable quality |
| Claude Sonnet 4.5 | $3/M | $15/M | Good balance |
| Claude Opus 4.5 | $5/M | $25/M | What the demos actually use |
What Real Users Actually Spend
These aren't hypotheticals. These are documented cases:
Federico Viticci (MacStories)
180 million tokens in first month = ~$3,600
Random user on X
Runaway automation loop = $200 in a single day
The MoltMaxxing viral post
"OpusMaxxing" minimum for real utility = $200/month baseline
The Hidden Feature That Burned $128/Month
This is where OpenClaw gets dangerous. And nobody in those tutorials mentions it.
Traditional AI (ChatGPT, Claude):
You ask → It answers → Done
OpenClaw with Heartbeat/Cron:
It wakes up → Checks things → Reasons → Messages you → Sleeps → Repeat every N minutes → Forever
Let's Do The Math
Scenario: Simple monitoring cron (every 5 minutes)
Per check:
├── System prompt ~1,000 tokens
├── Context recall ~2,000 tokens
├── Reasoning ~500 tokens
└── Response ~200 tokens
────────────────────────────────────
Total ~3,700 tokens
Per day (288 checks):
288 × 3,700 = 1,065,600 tokens
Per month:
~32 million tokens
Cost at GPT-4o rates ($2.50 in / $10 out):
├── Input (80%): 25.6M × $2.50/M = $64
└── Output (20%): 6.4M × $10/M = $64
────────────────────────────────────────────
Total: ~$128/month FOR ONE CRON JOB 🔥
Now imagine you have:
- 📧 Email monitoring
- 💬 Slack watching
- 🐙 GitHub issue polling
- 🖥️ Server health checks
- 📈 Stock price alerts
Each one burns tokens. Every minute. Forever.
The "Is It Really Open Source?" Question
Let me be clear: OpenClaw is genuinely open source.
But so is a car engine. The engine is free. The fuel isn't.
"Open source AI agents" are a vehicle for selling API tokens.
Every major AI agent project:
- ✅ Software: Free
- 💰 Requires: Expensive LLM APIs
- 📤 Result: You're paying Anthropic/OpenAI, not the project
This isn't a criticism. It's how the economics work. But it's rarely stated this clearly.
I Tried To Be Smart. The Cheap Model Made Me Look Stupid.
GPT-4o-mini is 17x cheaper than GPT-4o. Big brain move, right? I'd save hundreds.
What worked:
- ✅ Basic chat
- ✅ Simple questions
- ✅ Status checks
What broke everything:
I asked OpenClaw to work on a TypeScript project. Build errors appeared:
error TS2304: Cannot find name 'HeadersInit'
error TS2749: 'TaskStatus' refers to a value, but is being used as a type
GPT-4o-mini's response: Reported the errors. Gave up. 🤷
The fixes were trivial:
-
HeadersInitis a DOM type, not available in Node.js → useRecord<string, string> -
TaskStatusis a const object → useTaskStatusType(the derived type)
Any intermediate developer would fix these in 60 seconds. Mini couldn't reason through them.
I burned 5 failed runs worth of tokens before upgrading to GPT-4o, which fixed it in one shot.
The "cheap" model cost me more.
The MoltMaxxing Truth
A viral post on X captured it perfectly:
"If you're using OpenClaw with anything less than Claude Opus 4.5, you're not getting 'a slightly worse MoltBot.' You're getting 40-95% of its capabilities."
Model Comparison (Real Testing)
| Model | Quality | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Qwen3 30B (local) | 💀 | "The soul has left the body" |
| Kimi K2.5 | 85-90% | Still needs hand-holding |
| GPT-5.2-codex | 95% | Chooses "procedurally correct" over "obviously effective" |
| Claude Opus 4.5 | ✅ 100% | Actually works as advertised |
Their conclusion:
"MoltMaxxing only works if you're OpusMaxxing."
What $200/Month Actually Buys You
| Option | What You Get | Hidden Costs |
|---|---|---|
| ChatGPT Pro ($200/mo) | Unlimited GPT-5 chat | No agents, no automation |
| Claude Max ($200/mo) | 20x Pro usage | Rate limits still exist |
| OpenClaw + Opus (~$200/mo) | Full autonomy, cron jobs | Can spike to $500+ |
| OpenClaw + GPT-4o (~$130/mo) | 90% capability | Fails on complex tasks |
| OpenClaw + Mini (~$30/mo) | Fancy chatbot | Useless for real work |
"Just Run It Locally Bro" — The $6,000 Cope
You've seen this take in every Reddit thread and YouTube comment.
Mac Mini M4 (16GB) — $600
| Spec | Reality |
|---|---|
| Can run | Qwen 7B, Llama 8B |
| Quality | GPT-3.5 tier at best |
| Verdict | Barely functional for agents |
Mac Mini M4 (24GB) — $800
| Spec | Reality |
|---|---|
| Can run | Qwen 14B |
| Quality | Below GPT-4o |
| Verdict | "It works" but limited |
Mac Studio M2 Ultra (64GB) — $4,000
| Spec | Reality |
|---|---|
| Can run | Qwen 30B, Llama 70B |
| Quality | ~80% of GPT-4o |
| Verdict | Usable but not Opus-tier |
Mac Studio M2 Ultra (128GB) — $6,000
| Spec | Reality |
|---|---|
| Can run | Larger models |
| Quality | Approaching GPT-4o |
| Verdict | High latency, still not Opus |
Plus: ~$10-15/month electricity running 24/7
The Breakeven Math
- < 100 hours/month → Cloud wins
- > 200 hours/month → Local might make sense
- Need Opus-tier → Cloud is your only option
OpenRouter: The Middle Path?
OpenRouter lets you access multiple providers with one API:
| Model | Price (in/out) | Quality |
|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.5 | $5/$25 per M | 100% |
| Claude Sonnet 4.5 | $3/$15 per M | 90% |
| Kimi K2.5 | ~$2/$8 per M | 85-90% |
| Deepseek V3 | ~$0.50/$2 per M | Budget tier |
The catch: OpenRouter doesn't mark up prices, but you're still paying API rates. There's no magic discount.
My Actual Monthly Bill
After all experimentation, here's what I run:
# My OpenClaw Setup
infrastructure:
azure_vm: $23/month # 8hr/day usage
cloudflare: $0
model:
provider: Azure OpenAI
model: GPT-4o
tokens: 50-80M/month
cost: ~$80-120/month
integrations:
telegram: $0
discord: $0
github_webhooks: $0
# ─────────────────────────
total: ~$100-150/month
Is it worth it? For me, yes. It handles tasks that would take hours.
Would I recommend it? Only if you:
- 💰 Have $100+/month budget for AI
- 🧠 Accept you need GPT-4o or better
- ⏰ Understand cron jobs multiply costs
- 😅 Won't cry when a loop burns $50 overnight
So... Should You Even Bother In 2026?
The MoltMaxxing author dropped a truth bomb:
"I'd bet we eventually see a proper 'AI bot / agent plan' tier with higher limits designed for exactly this use case."
They're probably right. We'll likely see:
- 💳 $300-500/month "agent tiers" from Anthropic/OpenAI
- 📊 Better rate limits for automation
- 📉 Competition driving prices down
My decision: I'm pausing aggressive AI agent work to ship my mobile app. When Opus-tier models are accessible at $100/month with proper automation support, I'll be back.
Until then: Ship products, not demos.
Key Takeaways
| What They Say | What's Actually True |
|---|---|
| "It's open source" | Software free, API bills real |
| "GPT-4o-mini works" | For chat. Not for agents. |
| "Run it locally" | $4,000+ for 80% quality |
| "Like having an assistant" | Only at $200+/month |
| "The future of work" | The expensive future |
The Uncomfortable Truth Nobody Will Tell You
OpenClaw is genuinely impressive software. The team shipped something remarkable.
But here's what every tutorial, every demo, every "I built an AI agent in 10 minutes" video leaves out:
They're all running Claude Opus 4.5.
When you try the same thing with the "budget-friendly" option they never mention, the magic vanishes. The assistant becomes a broken chatbot. The autonomous agent becomes an expensive autocomplete.
That's not OpenClaw's fault. That's just AI economics in 2026.
The model IS the product. The software is just packaging.
Resources
Have you run OpenClaw with different models? Drop your experience in the comments.
Follow @thegdsks for more honest takes on AI infrastructure. No hype, just numbers.

Top comments (1)
Exactly, the API provider costs are quite high. But there's a workaround: you can use Codex or Gemini CLI with OpenClaw by just signing up for the $20 plan. You hit the nail on the head, though—the price of maintaining a 'personal assistant' might exceed the cost of hiring a real person