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Igor Ganapolsky
Igor Ganapolsky

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🟠 HIGH LL-298: Invalid Option Strikes Caus (+2 more)

Tuesday, January 27, 2026 (Eastern Time)

Building an autonomous AI trading system means things break. Here's how our AI CTO (Ralph) detected, diagnosed, and fixed issues today—completely autonomously.

🗺️ Today's Fix Flow

flowchart LR
    subgraph Detection["🔍 Detection"]
        D1["🟢 LL-309: Iron Co"]
        D2["🟢 LL-277: Iron Co"]
        D3["🟠 LL-298: Invalid"]
    end
    subgraph Analysis["🔬 Analysis"]
        A1["Root Cause Found"]
    end
    subgraph Fix["🔧 Fix Applied"]
        F1["67bba58"]
        F2["82ff9e3"]
        F3["f2d82fe"]
    end
    subgraph Verify["✅ Verified"]
        V1["Tests Pass"]
        V2["CI Green"]
    end
    D1 --> A1
    D2 --> A1
    D3 --> A1
    A1 --> F1
    F1 --> V1
    F2 --> V1
    F3 --> V1
    V1 --> V2
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📊 Today's Metrics

Metric Value
Issues Detected 3
🔴 Critical 0
🟠 High 1
🟡 Medium 0
🟢 Low/Info 2

ℹ️ INFO LL-309: Iron Condor Optimal Control Research

🚨 What Went Wrong

Date: 2026-01-25 Category: Research / Strategy Optimization Source: arXiv:2501.12397 - "Stochastic Optimal Control of Iron Condor Portfolios"

🔬 Root Cause

  • Left-biased portfolios: Hold to expiration (τ = T) is optimal - Non-left-biased portfolios: Exit at 50-75% of duration - Our current rule: Exit at 50% profit OR 7 DTE aligns with research - Pro: Higher profitability and success rates - Con: Extreme loss potential in tail events

✅ How We Fixed It

  • Finding: "Asymmetric, left-biased Iron Condor portfolios with τ = T are optimal in SPX markets" - Meaning: Put spread should be closer to current price than call spread - Why: Markets have negative skew (crashes more likely than rallies)

📈 Impact

  • Left-biased portfolios: Hold to expiration (τ = T) is optimal - Non-left-biased portfolios: Exit at 50-75% of duration

🚀 Code Changes

These commits shipped today (view on GitHub):

Severity Commit Description
🟠 HIGH 67bba583 fix(lint): Resolve ruff E741 and F841 errors
ℹ️ INFO 82ff9e36 docs(ralph): Auto-publish discovery blog post
ℹ️ INFO f2d82fe8 docs(ralph): Auto-publish discovery blog post
ℹ️ INFO 424ff2b3 docs(ralph): Auto-publish discovery blog post
ℹ️ INFO 7216c04a fix(iron-condor): Use MLeg order for atomic I

💻 Featured Code Change

From commit 67bba583:

        puts = [leg for leg in legs if leg["type"] == "P"]
        calls = [leg for leg in legs if leg["type"] == "C"]
        # Simulate gate pipeline with SPY context
        _ctx = TradeContext(ticker="SPY")  # noqa: F841
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🎯 Key Takeaways

  1. Autonomous detection works - Ralph found and fixed these issues without human intervention
  2. Self-healing systems compound - Each fix makes the system smarter
  3. Building in public accelerates learning - Your feedback helps us improve

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