GitHub claims 1.8 million paid Copilot subscribers. Sounds impressive, right?
But here's what they don't tell you: there are 30+ million active developers on GitHub alone.
That means roughly 56% of developers aren't using paid AI coding assistants.
I've been obsessing over this number for weeks. As someone building in the developer tools space, I needed to understand: Why?
The Obvious Answers (That Might Be Wrong)
When I started asking around, I got the predictable responses:
"It's too expensive"
Copilot is $10/month, Cursor is $20/month
For developers in India, Southeast Asia, Eastern Europe — that's real money
Students and bootcamp grads can't justify it
"My employer doesn't allow it"
IP concerns
Security policies
Licensing fears (trained on open source code)
These make sense. But they didn't satisfy me.
The Deeper Reasons Nobody Talks About
Then I started having longer conversations. And a different picture emerged.
1. "I don't want to become dependent"
One senior developer told me:
"I've seen junior devs who can't write a for loop without Copilot. That terrifies me. I'd rather be slower and actually understand my code."
2. "AI code is... fine. But it's not MY code."
Another developer said:
"Copilot suggestions feel generic. They work, but they don't match how I think. I spend more time editing AI code than I would writing it myself."
The personalization problem. AI trained on millions of developers produces average code for the average developer. But none of us are average.
3. "It interrupts my flow"
"I'm deep in thought, solving a problem, and suddenly there's a grey suggestion I didn't ask for. Now I have to context-switch to evaluate it. That's not help — that's interruption."
The timing problem. Help that arrives at the wrong moment isn't help.
4. "I don't trust code I didn't write"
"When something breaks at 2 AM, I need to debug it. If I didn't write it, I don't understand it. AI-generated code is technical debt I'm creating in real-time."
The ownership problem. Copy-paste from Stack Overflow was bad enough. Copy-paste from AI is Stack Overflow at scale.
5. "It's making our industry worse"
This one surprised me:
"We're training a generation of 'vibe coders' who accept whatever the AI suggests without understanding why. That's not engineering. That's cargo cult programming."
The philosophical objection. Not everyone thinks AI-assisted coding is progress.
The Counter-Arguments (Being Fair)
Of course, AI coding tool users have responses:
"I understand the code — I just generate it faster"
"I use it for boilerplate, not logic"
"It's like having a junior dev who never gets tired"
"The productivity gain is undeniable"
And the data supports them. Studies show 30-50% productivity improvements for certain tasks.
So who's right?
What I Actually Want to Know
I don't think this is a binary "AI good" vs "AI bad" debate.
I think the real questions are:
What would make AI coding tools work for the skeptics?
Better personalization to YOUR style?
Help that arrives only when you're stuck?
Tools that help you learn, not just generate?
Are there pain points that current tools completely ignore?
Context recovery when returning to old projects?
Preventing YOUR specific recurring mistakes?
Understanding YOUR codebase, not just generic patterns?
Is price really the barrier, or is it value perception?
What features would make you say "shut up and take my money"?
I Need Your Help (2-Minute Survey)
I'm not writing this just to philosophize. I'm building something.
But I refuse to build another generic AI coding tool that solves problems nobody has.
If you're a developer who:
Doesn't use AI coding tools, or
Uses them but feels "meh" about them, or
Has strong opinions about what's missing
I'd love 1 minute of your time:
👉 Take the Survey 👈
No email required. No sales pitch. Just 5 questions.
I'll share the aggregated results with the community in a follow-up post. If there are genuine insights, you'll be the first to know.
What I'm NOT Building
- To be clear about my agenda:
- I'm not building another Copilot clone.
I'm exploring whether there's a market for AI coding tools that:
- Learn YOUR patterns from YOUR git history
- Help only when you're actually stuck
- Prevent YOUR recurring mistakes
- Make you a better coder, not a faster copy-paster
Maybe that market doesn't exist. Maybe developers are happy with current tools or happy without any tools.
That's exactly what I'm trying to find out.
The Comments Are Open
Even if you don't take the survey, I'd love to hear:
Do you use AI coding tools? Why or why not?
What would change your mind?
What's the most annoying thing about your current coding workflow?
The best insights often come from conversations, not surveys.
Let's discuss. 👇
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