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re: Why you need to know about the Lindy effect, as a developer. VIEW POST


"Every year that passes without extinction doubles the additional life expectancy."

I don't see this working in many places. Use of CDs is constantly diminishing and will die in a few decades. The same goes for obsolete tech which will be replaced someday.


The Lindy effect is an estimator that works on the average. You wouldn't use last month's prediction about the weather today to plan your trip if you could see the rain clouds in the sky.

I bet you a shekel that most 'obsolete' tech that'll be replaced in the near future are relatively new themselves.

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