ABROWNFOX001

Posted on Sep 19

The abrownfox001 Patch List Through Q4

GitHub: https://github.com/abrownfox0/abrownfox001-twap60-prediction-trigger-system

YouTube walkthrough: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzhugRL6BV4

Live profile: https://polymarket.com/@abrownfox001

Parts 1–4 set the frame: TWAP60 is live physics, matching may be rewritten, extra products stay outside the 5m loop.

This last post is the patch list I am actually running.

Wallet: 0x12b712029efeee7efc4066e98e4e1b6beb8b1b0b

1. What Stays Frozen

The specialist design does not get a seasonal rewrite:

BTC only as core
5-minute clock
official 60s TWAP vs open
45–55¢ entries
10–30s re-score
scratch decay
redeem the filtered book

Public README context still describes that style: mid-band fills, later sells than buys, held-side resolved sample around 60.7% on 150 markets near 50¢. Treat it as style evidence, not a Q4 forecast.

The live P(up) stays private.

The TypeScript shell stays public.

2. Already Patched

Item	Status
Target series	60s Chainlink TWAP
Open pin	same family as live score
Feed	RTDS in `twapFeed.ts`
Stale official series	skip slot
Mixed 30s/60s windows	banned in production labels
CEX mid	lead-lag only

That was the August job. It is not optional homework anymore.

3. Q4 Patch List

A. Execution baseline before any CLOB cutover

log signal_ts, submit_ts, ack_ts, fill_ts
store quoted ask vs fill
store scratch spread
store reject / 429 / reconnect counts

If matching changes, I want a September–October baseline to diff against. Not a vibe.

B. Delay and quota as config

taker_delay_ms explicit
no cancel-spam as risk policy
Retry-After honored
per-slot order cap stays on

C. Book-quality gates

no new entries if 45–55¢ depth is gone
no “breakeven scratch” fantasy on a hole
skip rather than improvise from spot

D. Adapter hygiene

clob.ts normalizes fills
engine.ts does not parse raw venue folklore
idempotent client order IDs
reconnect must not double-send

E. Reconciliation

Data API / Gamma vs local memory
resolution_src on every completed slot
public activity tab still has to look like the design

4. What I Will Measure Weekly

BTC share
5m share
% fills in 45–55¢
median buy time
median sell time
same-market flat exits
official-series freshness misses
rate-limit hits
fill slippage vs mid-band ask

If those series drift, the machine drifted.

I do not want to discover that from a new product announcement.

5. What Stays Off the Board

Combos / RFQ inside engine.ts
Kalshi 15m weights
perps
agent autopilot
extra assets as camouflage
snapshot-close revival

Refusal is part of the patch list.

6. Cutover Posture If a New Matching Path Appears

shadow / micro-size
same TWAP60 target
same mid-band gate
compare against the logged baseline
only then restore clip size

No new markets on launch week.

No threshold rewrite from one good afternoon.

7. How to Read the Live Account

curl "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-profile?address=0x12b712029efeee7efc4066e98e4e1b6beb8b1b0b"
curl "https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades?user=0x12b712029efeee7efc4066e98e4e1b6beb8b1b0b&limit=1000"

Keep asking:

still BTC 5m?
still 45–55¢?
still later sells than buys?
still flat scratches?
still not only trading the last seconds?

If yes, the inferred machine is intact while the venue rebuilds rails.

8. Series Recap

Part 1: Settlement is settled; matching is the next uncertainty
Part 2: A 5m book now lives on a rolling 60s average
Part 3: Make the CLOB client an adapter before Q4
Part 4: Do not port Combos, agents, or extra clocks into the core
Part 5: Patch feeds, logs, delay math, and gates — not the specialist thesis

One line:

Forecast the official TWAP path, buy it only near fair value, refuse weak tickets, and keep the matching layer replaceable.

Links

Repo: https://github.com/abrownfox0/abrownfox001-twap60-prediction-trigger-system
Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzhugRL6BV4
Live activity: https://polymarket.com/@abrownfox001?tab=activity

Not financial advice. Paper or micro-size first. Roadmaps and delay values can move.

If you have more questions, please feel free to contact me at any time: https://t.me/abrownfox001

My Polymarket Activity: https://polymarket.com/@abrownfox001?tab=activity

#Polymarket #TWAP #BTC #TradingBot #CLOB #AlgoTrading #PredictionMarkets #QuantTrading

DEV Community