GitHub: https://github.com/abrownfox0/abrownfox001-twap60-prediction-trigger-system
YouTube walkthrough: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzhugRL6BV4
This is a new 5-part series. The angle is different from the previous architecture walkthroughs.
Instead of starting from “here is my strategy,” start from what an outsider can actually see:
- the live Polymarket profile
- the public trade footprint
- the GitHub shell
- the session video
Then infer the design. That is how you should evaluate any so-called 5-minute bot — including this one.
- Part 1 — Read the public footprint first (this post)
- Part 2 — Infer the settlement target: TWAP60, not CEX last
- Part 3 — Infer the signal constraints from fills, not slogans
- Part 4 — Infer the lifecycle from buy/sell timing
- Part 5 — What remains unprovable, and why that matters
Live profile: @abrownfox001
Wallet: 0x12b712029efeee7efc4066e98e4e1b6beb8b1b0b
Start With Evidence, Not Branding
A 5-minute BTC bot can claim anything.
The useful test is narrower:
Do the public fills look like last-tick sniping, 99¢ farming, or mid-band directional work with active culling?
If the fills do not match the story, ignore the story.
What an Outsider Can See Immediately
From the repo, video, and sampled public window:
| Observable | What it suggests |
|---|---|
| ~99% BTC | Specialist, not a spray bot |
| ~96% 5-minute | The clock is the product |
| ~90.6% of fills in 45–55¢ | Not a convergence farm |
| Buy/sell mix ~73/27 | Positions get flattened, not only held |
| ~930 near-zero-spread round trips | Scratches, not profit-taking |
| Median buy ~47s, median sell ~226s | Enter earlier, cut later |
| Wallet + logged-in walkthrough | The profile is meant to be inspectable |
That cluster already rules out two common archetypes:
- 94–99¢ farmer — wrong price zone
- hold-everything directional script — too many same-market sells
What remains is a mid-band BTC 5m engine with a filter.
The Claim That Still Needs the Next Posts
The README’s resolved sample (150 markets near 50¢):
- held-side win rate 60.7%
- ROI at resolution ≈ +24.5%
- average held entry ~0.50
Treat that as a filtered-book claim, not a “every fill wins 61%” claim. Part 5 will separate style evidence from guaranteed edge.
Why This Angle Exists
After Polymarket moved 5-minute crypto onto 60-second Chainlink TWAP, a lot of bots kept the old story and only changed a feed name.
The public footprint is how you catch that.
If an account:
- still clusters at the final seconds
- still lives at 96–99¢
- still never sells
- still sprays 12 assets
…it is not this design, no matter what the README says.
The Working Hypothesis After Part 1
specialist BTC 5m
+ mid-band entries
+ visible scratch exits
+ inspectable wallet
+ public execution shell
+ private calibrated read
That hypothesis is what parts 2–4 try to confirm from settlement rules and fill timing.
What Part 2 Covers
The next post ignores branding again and asks one forensic question:
Which price series would produce this kind of mid-slot, mid-band behavior after August 2026 — snapshot close, 30s TWAP, or 60s TWAP?
Links
- Repo: https://github.com/abrownfox0/abrownfox001-twap60-prediction-trigger-system
- Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzhugRL6BV4
- Live activity: https://polymarket.com/@abrownfox001?tab=activity
Not financial advice. Public fills show style. They do not guarantee future results.
If you have more questions, please feel free to contact me at any time: https://t.me/abrownfox001
My Polymarket Activity: https://polymarket.com/@abrownfox001?tab=activity
**Relevant Hashtags/Tags:**
Polymarket #BTC #TWAP #TradingBot #AlgoTrading #PredictionMarkets #OnChainAnalytics
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