So I'll risk sounding like a bit of an elitist, but I don't think the higher strata of the programming world will be affected by this very soon.
AI, so far, seems to be good at, well, generating some code that often works; mainly recycling code that has already been written by real humans. This is dangerous for beginners, who are mostly doing tasks that don't require a large degree of knowledge on more advanced concepts.
But AI is still far away from really replacing the more skilled developers. I wouldn't put myself anywhere near the top, but even for me, writing code that does things isn't the hard part. The difficult things are usually figuring out what exactly the code should do in the first place, be that decyphering a client's fever-dream of a use-case, or understanding what Data is needed where.
AI can't really help much with those aspects, and if someone was to take the jobs of 5 devs and hand them all over to the 6th because "AI should let you focus on the core problems" then that developer is going to be burnt out within the months.
An even more interesting consideration: With more and more low-skill programming work being done by AI instead of beginner programmers, one has to wonder: Where will the experienced developers of the future come from?
Unless AI advances enough to take over basically all intellectual work, at which point we're looking at a complete re-structuring of society anyways, chances are, highly skilled developers will end up having even less competition on the job market.
That being said, in the case that AI should completely replace even highly skilled programmers, I wonder if programming would turn into something people do for fun and as an art form.
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So I'll risk sounding like a bit of an elitist, but I don't think the higher strata of the programming world will be affected by this very soon.
AI, so far, seems to be good at, well, generating some code that often works; mainly recycling code that has already been written by real humans. This is dangerous for beginners, who are mostly doing tasks that don't require a large degree of knowledge on more advanced concepts.
But AI is still far away from really replacing the more skilled developers. I wouldn't put myself anywhere near the top, but even for me, writing code that does things isn't the hard part. The difficult things are usually figuring out what exactly the code should do in the first place, be that decyphering a client's fever-dream of a use-case, or understanding what Data is needed where.
AI can't really help much with those aspects, and if someone was to take the jobs of 5 devs and hand them all over to the 6th because "AI should let you focus on the core problems" then that developer is going to be burnt out within the months.
An even more interesting consideration: With more and more low-skill programming work being done by AI instead of beginner programmers, one has to wonder: Where will the experienced developers of the future come from?
Unless AI advances enough to take over basically all intellectual work, at which point we're looking at a complete re-structuring of society anyways, chances are, highly skilled developers will end up having even less competition on the job market.
That being said, in the case that AI should completely replace even highly skilled programmers, I wonder if programming would turn into something people do for fun and as an art form.