The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: From Oslo to 2025

This article provides an in-depth analysis of the evolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict over three decades—from the groundbreaking Oslo Accords to forecasts for 2025. The author deconstructs key legal concepts, such as the principle of proportionality in armed conflict and the political "ripeness for negotiation," pointing to their real significance in peace processes. The text discusses in detail the role of key actors, including the PLO and Hamas, and the impact of regional realignments such as the Abraham Accords and the role of Iran and the US. The presented future scenarios consider potential international administration in the Gaza Strip and the Saudi normalization initiative. This comprehensive look at the mechanisms of structural violence and the chances for stabilization in a region where the traditional status quo is rapidly being eroded in favor of a new geometry of resistance.