The New Middle East: The End of Shadow War and the Crisis of Strategy

This article analyzes the fundamental shift in the geopolitics of the Middle East, where traditional military clashes are giving way to a networked "shadow war." The text details the evolution of threats—from the classic "Arab power" to the modern militia infrastructure and Iran's asymmetric actions. The author contrasts Israel's Iron Wall doctrine with Iran's "Ring of Fire" strategy, pointing to the exhaustion of existing crisis management models. The Middle East is presented as a space of geoeconomic competition, where control over trade routes and managing the disintegration of statehood are becoming key tools of power. The analysis also covers the role of the Axis of Resistance, the pragmatism of Iranian policy, and the impact of the Abraham Accords on a new security architecture in which international law is sometimes treated as a political instrument.