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Posted on • Originally published at househeating-pulse.com

2026 heat-pump market index: Portugal vs Greece vs Austria

Short read. This is a ~300-word brief based on the full analysis at Househeating Pulse. For the interactive charts, brand-level data, and source tables, open the original.

Portugal, Greece, and Austria diverge less on catalog breadth than on the operating environment around heat pumps. The strongest signal in the dataset is tariff economics: Portugal’s electricity-to-gas ratio is 1.73, versus 2.59 in Greece and 2.68 in Austria, which puts Portugal furthest below the rough 3.7 break-even threshold used for a SCOP 4 unit. Austria is the tightest of the three on fuel-price arithmetic, even though it may look more established from a policy and climate standpoint.

The caveat is important for anyone wiring this into a reproducible pipeline: the EPREL-derived market index in the current corpus is EU-wide only. It does not expose country-sliced counts for model diversity, brand concentration, SCOP, noise, refrigerant mix, or energy-class shares for PT/GR/AT. The live baseline is still useful: 60,989 models, 777 manufacturers, average SCOP 4.55, average capacity 9.3 kW, and average outdoor sound power 61.3 dB from the market_index_snapshot table. If you need the full European benchmark, the canonical catalog sits at https://househeating-pulse.com/guides/2026-heat-pump-market-index-portugal-greece-austria and the underlying EPREL slices are mirrored in the market index views.

Where the country profiles do support a stronger comparison is climate and policy context. Austria carries 3,309.19 annual heating degree days and a mean January temperature of -1.64°C, far above Greece at 1,152.59 HDD and Portugal at 851.63 HDD. Austria also records the lowest grid carbon intensity in the trio at 89 gCO₂/kWh, compared with 153 in Portugal and 360 in Greece, plus an active subsidy entry capped at EUR 23,000.

On the product side, the EU-wide catalogue is dominated by air-to-water units at 49.9% of listings, with Daikin alone holding 24.05% of indexed models. R32 remains the leading refrigerant at 22.8%, while R290 is still below 1%, which is exactly the kind of density check the full analysis unpacks.

Read the full analysis with live data and source-linked tables at https://househeating-pulse.com/guides/2026-heat-pump-market-index-portugal-greece-austria.


Househeating Pulse aggregates 60,000+ EPREL-registered heat-pump models across Europe — efficiency rankings, refrigerant trends, country-level installed prices and subsidies. Data from EPREL, Eurostat, NASA POWER. Full analysis at https://househeating-pulse.com/guides/2026-heat-pump-market-index-portugal-greece-austria.

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