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Discussion on: How to Create Luck

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swyx profile image
swyx • Edited

it doesn't - antifragility is useful but isn't really relevant to reflexivity unless you really try to shoehorn it

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fatmonky profile image
fatmonky

I have been mulling on this for a while, and I am not sure I agree that there is no relevance.
Taleb wrote of the four quadrants before (edge.org/conversation/nassim_nicho...), with antifragility &black swans belonging to the fourth quadrant (complex payoffs, extremistan distribution). What he's talking about is the domain, the playing field, the market, etc.
Whereas what you wrote above is about the actor's choices of actions.

The two are interlinked when an actor acts. If an actor chooses a domain that has simple payoffs and mediocristan-distribution, then even if the actor chooses good habits and strategies, there's a limited upside due to the domain choice.

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fatmonky profile image
fatmonky • Edited

the four quadrants here (realised his post is pretty long and this was buried)