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We Built a Missile Defense We Can't Actually Afford to Use

The Math That Doesn't Add Up

The Pentagon announced plans last week to triple Patriot interceptor production and quadruple THAAD output — a tacit admission that the world's most advanced missile defense architecture has a fatal flaw: adversaries can fire cheap ballistic missiles faster than we can manufacture the $4 million interceptors to stop them.

The numbers are stark. U.S. Patriot stockpiles have fallen to just 25% of Pentagon requirements, dropping from over 2,300 missiles before the Iran conflict to roughly 800 today. Meanwhile, Russia produces 840-1,020 Iskander and Kinzhal ballistic missiles annually, while the U.S. and its partners combined manufacture fewer than 1,000 Patriots per year. Iran's firing rate during the recent conflict further accelerated the depletion.

This isn't a temporary supply chain hiccup. It's a structural mismatch between offense and defense economics that no amount of funding can quickly fix.


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