Published: 2026-07-04 | footballmoney.top
IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby FF — World Cup 2026-07-05
Model Predictions
Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on footballmoney.top projects:
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg | 39.4% |
| Draw | 24.9% |
| Hammarby FF | 35.7% |
ELO: IF Elfsborg 217 → Hammarby FF 308
The betting market prices IF Elfsborg at ~27.0% implied probability, while the model estimates 39.4% — IF Elfsborg appears undervalued by the market.
Best Available Odds
| IF Elfsborg | Draw | Hammarby FF |
|---|---|---|
| 3.7 | 3.6 | 1.72 |
Most Likely Scorelines
- 1-1 (12.7%)
- 0-1 (11.9%)
- 1-0 (11.6%)
Quick Picks — Other Matches
- BK Hacken vs Djurgardens IF: H45% / D24% / A32% — 2026-07-06
- BK Hacken vs Djurgardens IF: H45% / D24% / A32% — 2026-07-06
Predictions powered by footballmoney.top — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.
Top comments (0)