Published: 2026-06-24 | footballmoney.top
Japan vs Sweden — 世界杯 2026-06-25
Model Predictions
Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on footballmoney.top projects:
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Japan | 63.1% |
| Draw | 18.6% |
| Sweden | 18.2% |
ELO: Japan 1502 → Sweden 1511
The betting market prices Japan at ~54.1% implied probability, while the model estimates 63.1% — Japan appears undervalued by the market.
Best Available Odds
| Japan | Draw | Sweden |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3.6 | 4.48 |
Most Likely Scorelines
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Quick Picks — Other Matches
- Japan vs Sweden: H63% / D19% / A18% — 2026-06-25
- Japan vs Sweden: H63% / D19% / A18% — 2026-06-25
- Japan vs Sweden: H63% / D19% / A18% — 2026-06-25
- Japan vs Sweden: H63% / D19% / A18% — 2026-06-25
Predictions powered by footballmoney.top — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.
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