Published: 2026-08-22 | footballmoney.top
New England Revolution vs New York City FC — World Cup 2026-08-23
Model Predictions
Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on footballmoney.top projects:
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 35.6% |
| Draw | 25.8% |
| New York City FC | 38.6% |
ELO: New England Revolution 1336 → New York City FC 1401
The betting market prices New York City FC at ~35.5% implied probability, while the model estimates 38.6% — New York City FC appears slightly favored vs market odds.
Best Available Odds
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|
| 2.06 | 3.45 | 2.82 |
Most Likely Scorelines
- 1-1 (12.1%)
- 1-0 (11.2%)
- 0-1 (10.8%)
Quick Picks — Other Matches
Predictions powered by footballmoney.top — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.
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