Published: 2026-08-19 | footballmoney.top
New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC — World Cup 2026-08-19
Model Predictions
Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on footballmoney.top projects:
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls | 41.8% |
| Draw | 25.3% |
| Nashville SC | 32.9% |
ELO: New York Red Bulls 1363 → Nashville SC 1444
The betting market prices New York Red Bulls at ~36.5% implied probability, while the model estimates 41.8% — New York Red Bulls appears undervalued by the market.
Best Available Odds
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| 2.74 | 3.5 | 2.09 |
Most Likely Scorelines
- 1-1 (12.1%)
- 1-0 (11.2%)
- 0-1 (10.8%)
Quick Picks — Other Matches
- Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles FC: H35% / D24% / A42% — 2026-08-20
Predictions powered by footballmoney.top — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.
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