Paraguay vs Australia: Match Prediction & Model Analysis (2026-06-26)

Published: 2026-06-24 | footballmoney.top

Paraguay vs Australia — 世界杯 2026-06-26

Model Predictions

Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on footballmoney.top projects:

Outcome	Probability
Paraguay	29.5%
Draw	27.3%
Australia	43.2%

ELO: Paraguay 1484 → Australia 1507

The betting market prices Australia at ~27.8% implied probability, while the model estimates 43.2% — Australia appears significantly undervalued by the market.

Best Available Odds

Paraguay	Draw	Australia
3.05	2.25	4.38

Most Likely Scorelines

• 1-1 (13.4%)
• 1-0 (12.7%)
• 0-0 (12.5%)

Quick Picks — Other Matches

• Paraguay vs Australia: H30% / D27% / A43% — 2026-06-26
• Paraguay vs Australia: H30% / D27% / A43% — 2026-06-26
• Paraguay vs Australia: H30% / D27% / A43% — 2026-06-26
• Paraguay vs Australia: H30% / D27% / A43% — 2026-06-26

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Predictions powered by footballmoney.top — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.