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Erik Novikov
Erik Novikov

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The tech market is tough. Here's what actually matters.

The situation

Layoffs, an influx of new devs, and AI getting more capable every month. The market is genuinely harder than it was a few years ago — both at entry level and senior. Supply is up, so the average developer's value is down. That's just supply and demand.

But the average developer is not you. Here's why it's not as grim as it looks.

Competence still wins

The market isn't homogeneous. Two developers with the same title and years of experience can be worlds apart in actual ability. What separates them:

1. Problem-solving over knowledge accumulation

The developer who knows three frameworks but can't think through an unfamiliar problem is less valuable than the one with strong fundamentals who can adapt fast. Protocols, concurrency, system design, debugging, fixing and shipping under pressure — these transfer across stacks. Knowing by heart a specific library or framework doesn't.

A concrete example: migrating a microservice from Java to Go. A developer who's never touched Java might freeze. A developer with solid fundamentals in how languages handle concurrency and how services communicate will figure it out. Be the second developer.

2. AI leverage

Use AI to plan, brainstorm, review, and code — but stay in the driver's seat. Vibe-coding your way to a shipped feature might look fast until you spend hours debugging a system you never actually understood. AI is a force multiplier, not a replacement for understanding what you're building.

3. Learning rate

In tech, what you know today matters less than how fast you can learn something new and apply it. The half-life of any specific skill is shrinking. Your ability to pick things up quickly is the most durable asset you have.

Final word

Don't stress over the market. Get extremely good instead. Strong fundamentals, smart use of AI, and a fast learning rate will put you ahead of most. Focus on those and the rest takes care of itself.

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