SpaceX's Launch Dominance Is Being Tested by a Scenario the Industry Long Called Unthinkable

SpaceX has spent a decade turning orbital launch from a boutique government service into an industrial utility, and its grip on that utility has looked close to unassailable. The claim now attached to the company is that this is about to change: that a scenario the industry treated as unthinkable is arriving, and that it lands on SpaceX first. The assertion is blunt and carries no supporting detail, which is exactly why it deserves scrutiny. The useful question is not whether one sentence is true, but which of SpaceX's several structural exposures it could plausibly describe, and what each would cost.

Watch the demo (video):

https://x.com/i/status/2113392623574540756

Sources

• Original post by @DavidCarbutt_: https://x.com/i/status/2113392623574540756

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