Short read. This is a ~300-word brief based on the full analysis at Househeating Pulse. For the interactive charts, brand-level data, and source tables, open the original.
R290 has crossed from transition narrative into the live-market lead: in the 2026-06-02 market_index snapshot, propane accounts for 53.7% of European heat-pump listings, versus 46.3% for R32. The split is only 7.4 percentage points, but it marks a real structural turn in what is actively surfacing in EPREL-backed catalogs.
The important caveat is reproducibility: this is a listing snapshot, not the full declaration universe. In the refrigerant_universe, R32 still appears 13,935 times, while R290 appears only 537 times plus three close variants. So the market-facing layer is moving faster than the underlying EPREL declarations, which still look heavily legacy-HFC weighted.
That divergence is exactly why the country question matters. The companion dataset here cannot rank national R290 shares, but adjacent variables show how uneven Europe is. Electricity-to-gas ratios range from 1.3 in Sweden to 5.11 in Romania (price_ratio), and climate spans from 492 heating degree days in Malta to 5,039.96 in Norway (country_compare). Subsidy ceilings also vary sharply, from €2,750 in the Netherlands to €31,000 in Poland. Those are the kinds of upstream conditions that can accelerate or slow a refrigerant shift even when the Europe-wide aggregate is already moving.
Brand concentration adds another layer. Daikin Europe N.V. alone has 14,668 models and a 24.05% share of listings; Mitsubishi Electric Europe B.V. has 5,575 models, and Johnson Controls Hitachi has 5,207. Together they control 41.73% of the market index. In a market where a few large portfolios dominate, refrigerant adoption often follows catalog strategy before it becomes visible in national averages.
For the full breakdown, including the live table slices and source notes, read the full analysis with live data: https://househeating-pulse.com/articles/eu-2026-r290-share-rising-but-country-gaps-remain
Read the full analysis with live data and source attribution on the canonical page: https://househeating-pulse.com/articles/eu-2026-r290-share-rising-but-country-gaps-remain
Househeating Pulse aggregates 60,000+ EPREL-registered heat-pump models across Europe — efficiency rankings, refrigerant trends, country-level installed prices and subsidies. Data from EPREL, Eurostat, NASA POWER. Full analysis at https://househeating-pulse.com/articles/eu-2026-r290-share-rising-but-country-gaps-remain.
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