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re: Why you need to know about the Lindy effect, as a developer. VIEW POST

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I'm confused because by that logic, everything not extinct the first years would live forever ... no?
And so, nothing would ever go extinct ...

Since it was alive for a year, I can expect it to be alive another year.
But then, after that second year, I can expect it to be alive another 2 years.
And then, another 4, and 8 etc ...

Then, if the important part is without extinction and it meant that something could go extinct any given time, then what's the point of the expectation?

Am I looking at it wrong?

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