Bitcoin bottom may need 15% plunge, on‑chain data warns

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Is a 15% Drop the Tipping Point for Bitcoin’s Next Bottom?

Bitcoin’s on‑chain metrics indicate that the cryptocurrency is testing its 200‑week moving average, a level that historically signals a decisive trough. Analysts argue that a correction of roughly 15% may be required to confirm a true bottom, potentially anchoring price in the $50,000‑$54,000 corridor as liquidity inflows continue to taper.

Key Takeaways

The 200‑week moving average has historically served as a reliable bottom‑finding indicator for Bitcoin.
A 15% price correction could drive Bitcoin into the $50k‑$54k range.
On‑chain data shows a slowdown in liquidity inflows, reducing upward price pressure.
Market sentiment remains cautious, with heightened volatility expected if the correction materializes.
Analysts warn that without a clear trough, any near‑term price rebounds may prove short‑lived.