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Tom Morgan
Tom Morgan

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Traffic Arbitrage for Beginners: The Math Before You Spend

Traffic arbitrage is buying clicks for less than you earn from them, and the only number that tells you whether you are doing it is break-even conversion…

Four conversions at $140 is a $35 cost per acquisition against a $30 payout, so it looks like a loser. Illustrative inputs (a $30 payout, a 15% reversal rate) are assumptions, not market data. Budget the pilot at the cost of 35 conversions at break-even CPA: 35 × $25.50 = $892.50.

Key takeaways

  • If you cannot afford that ceiling for one offer, you cannot responsibly test one offer.
  • Before spending, compute break-even CVR for each offer-CPC pair.
  • Meta’s reported conversions and your network’s confirmed conversions are different counts, and pixel-only tracking can miss events that server-side…

Resolving it needs paired campaigns with equal budgets, an identical offer, and conversion counts reconciled to the payout ledger.

Read the full article: https://www.seohack.info/traffic-arbitrage-for-beginners/

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