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The abrownfox001 Patch List

#blockchain #crypto #github #web3

GitHub: https://github.com/abrownfox0/abrownfox001-twap60-prediction-trigger-system

YouTube walkthrough: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzhugRL6BV4

Live profile: https://polymarket.com/@abrownfox001

Parts 1–4 defined the regime: new venue defaults, TWAP60 hygiene, 150ms matching tax, and halt-on-stale.

Part 5 is the patch list I will actually run. Not a rewrite. Not a Combos pivot. A specialist loop that survives September.

Wallet: 0x12b712029efeee7efc4066e98e4e1b6beb8b1b0b

1. What Stays Frozen

The live design is still:

  • BTC only as core
  • 5-minute clock
  • official TWAP path vs open
  • 45–55¢ entries
  • 10–30s re-score
  • scratch decay
  • redeem the filtered book

Public sample context from the README still describes that style: mid-band fills, later sells than buys, held-side resolved book around 60.7% on a 150-market window. That is style evidence, not a mid-September guarantee.

The calibrated P(up) stays private.

src/ stays the execution shell.

2. Already Locked

Patch Status
5m target = 60s Chainlink TWAP locked
Open pin from the same series locked
RTDS ingest in twapFeed.ts locked
CEX mid only as lead-lag locked
Mid-band + scratch lifecycle in engine.ts locked

If a fork still mixes 30s open with 60s close, it is not behind on features. It is mislabeled.

3. The September Patch List

Settlement hygiene

  • write twap_open, twap_now, feed_age_ms, resolution_src every slot
  • skip the slot when the official series is stale
  • do not invent TWAP from one CEX

Matching

  • config: taker_delay_ms = 150
  • split signal / submit / fill timestamps
  • re-fit entry and scratch thresholds on post-Sept 4 data only
  • honor Retry-After; kill cancel-spam
  • refuse “breakeven scratch” when 50¢ depth is gone

Reliability

  • HALT on stale TWAP, lagged open-order reads, or incident mode
  • reconnect RTDS / CLOB without duplicate order ids
  • reconcile positions before new size
  • missed slot < invented price

That is the whole near-term diff.

4. What I Will Not Build

  • Combos RFQ inside engine.ts
  • shared weights with a 15m Kalshi fork
  • perps
  • Exa / agent auto-trade as the production path
  • snapshot-close revival
  • more assets as a substitute for a weaker BTC 5m read

New surface is an adapter or it is a distraction.

5. The Slot Record I Want in Production 

slot_id
twap_window_s = 60
twap_open / twap_now / feed_age_ms
signal_ts / submit_ts / fill_ts
quoted_ask / fill_price
delay_ms = 150
rate_limit_hits
halt_reason
scratch_or_redeem
resolution_src
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If a week goes bad and this row does not exist, I cannot tell signal decay from delay tax from a stale feed. That is negligence, not variance.

6. How to Check Whether the Patch Took

Outsider checks on the activity tab:

  • still BTC 5m?
  • still 45–55¢?
  • still later sells than buys?
  • still same-market flat exits?
  • still not only close-bell size?
  • still not a 99¢ farm?

Verify independently:

curl "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-profile?address=0x12b712029efeee7efc4066e98e4e1b6beb8b1b0b"
curl "https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades?user=0x12b712029efeee7efc4066e98e4e1b6beb8b1b0b&limit=1000"
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If those tells drift, the patch list failed in production no matter what this post says.

7. Series Recap

  • Part 1: The 5m bot now runs in a post-patch venue
  • Part 2: Log TWAP60 or you are guessing
  • Part 3: 150ms delay and quotas are a fill-quality problem
  • Part 4: Stale data is a halt, not a retry
  • Part 5: Keep the specialist loop; patch pins, delay math, and reliability

One line:

Forecast the official 60s TWAP path, buy it only near fair value, scratch weak tickets, and do nothing when the feed or the book is lying.

Links

Not financial advice. Paper or micro-size first. Rules, delays, and incidents can move again.

If you have more questions, please feel free to contact me at any time: https://t.me/abrownfox001

My Polymarket Activity: https://polymarket.com/@abrownfox001?tab=activity

#Polymarket #TWAP #BTC #TradingBot #AlgoTrading #PredictionMarkets #Chainlink #QuantTrading
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