Mexico vs South Korea: Match Prediction & Model Analysis (2026-06-19)

Published: 2026-06-16 | footballmoney.top

Mexico vs South Korea — 世界杯 2026-06-19

Model Predictions

Our ensemble model (Bayesian + XGBoost + Monte Carlo) on footballmoney.top projects:

Outcome	Probability
Mexico	32.7%
Draw	25.7%
South Korea	41.5%

ELO: Mexico 1507 → South Korea 1489

The betting market prices South Korea at ~25.6% implied probability, while the model estimates 41.5% — South Korea appears significantly undervalued by the market.

Best Available Odds

Mexico	Draw	South Korea
2.06	3.42	4.2

Most Likely Scorelines

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Quick Picks — Other Matches

• Mexico vs South Korea: H33% / D26% / A42% — 2026-06-19
• Mexico vs South Korea: H33% / D26% / A42% — 2026-06-19
• Mexico vs South Korea: H33% / D26% / A42% — 2026-06-19
• Mexico vs South Korea: H33% / D26% / A42% — 2026-06-19

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Predictions powered by footballmoney.top — open-source ensemble ML model. 62K+ matches tracked. Statistical analysis, not betting advice.