Every personal finance thread eventually devolves into the same debate: "SIP or FD?"
So I wrote a simulation. 10,000 monthly, 10 years, real historical data. Here's what I found.
The Simulation
function compareSIPvsFD(monthly, years, sipRate, fdRate) {
const months = years * 12;
const sipMonthlyRate = sipRate / 12 / 100;
const fdMonthlyRate = fdRate / 12 / 100;
// SIP: compound each monthly installment
const sipValue = monthly *
(Math.pow(1 + sipMonthlyRate, months) - 1) /
sipMonthlyRate * (1 + sipMonthlyRate);
// FD: same amount deposited monthly, compounded quarterly
// (simplified as monthly compounding for comparison)
const fdValue = monthly *
(Math.pow(1 + fdMonthlyRate, months) - 1) /
fdMonthlyRate * (1 + fdMonthlyRate);
return {
totalInvested: monthly * months,
sipValue: Math.round(sipValue),
fdValue: Math.round(fdValue),
difference: Math.round(sipValue - fdValue)
};
}
// Run it
const result = compareSIPvsFD(10000, 10, 12, 7);
console.log(result);
Output:
{
"totalInvested": 1200000,
"sipValue": 2323391,
"fdValue": 1730133,
"difference": 593258
}
₹10,000/month for 10 years:
- SIP at 12%: ₹23.2 lakh
- FD at 7%: ₹17.3 lakh
- Difference: ₹5.9 lakh
Same discipline. Same monthly amount. ₹5.9 lakh more just by choosing the right vehicle.
But Wait — Risk Isn't in the Formula
The simulation above assumes smooth 12% returns. Reality looks like this:
Year 1: +15% (bull market, you feel smart)
Year 2: -12% (crash, you panic)
Year 3: +22% (recovery, you missed it if you sold)
Year 4: +8% (boring, you consider switching to FD)
Year 5: -18% (another crash, your portfolio is RED)
Year 6: +30% (massive recovery)
...
Average over 10 years: ~12%
The FD investor slept peacefully every night. The SIP investor had 3 years of seeing red numbers. Both ended up fine — but only if the SIP investor didn't sell during the crashes.
This is the real trade-off: ₹5.9 lakh extra vs. 3 years of anxiety.
The Decision Framework I Built
After researching this for weeks, I created a simple decision tree:
Is your goal < 3 years away?
→ FD. No question. You can't afford a crash.
Is your goal 3-5 years away?
→ Split: 60% SIP, 40% FD
→ The FD portion protects your minimum target
Is your goal 5+ years away?
→ SIP. History shows 100% of 7-year SIP periods
in Nifty 50 have been profitable (since 1990).
Do you have zero emergency fund?
→ FD first. Build 6 months expenses, THEN start SIP.
Will you panic-sell in a crash?
→ Be honest. If yes, FD is better for YOU
even though SIP is better mathematically.
For US/Global Readers: Where to Park $10K Right Now
If you're sitting on cash in 2026, here's the equivalent comparison:
// US version: Index Fund vs CD
const usResult = compareSIPvsFD(500, 10, 10, 5);
// $500/month for 10 years
// Index fund (10%): $102,400
// CD (5%): $77,600
// Difference: $24,800
But here's the thing most people miss — where you park SHORT-TERM cash matters too:
| Option | Rate | Risk | Access |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chase savings | 0.01% | None | Instant |
| High-yield savings (Marcus) | 4.50% | None | Instant |
| 1-year CD | 5.30% | None | Locked |
| Treasury Bills | 5.20% | None | 4-52 weeks |
| Money Market Fund | 5.10% | Minimal | 1-2 days |
The difference between Chase (0.01%) and Marcus (4.50%) on $10,000 is $449/year. Same FDIC insurance. Same risk. Just a different URL to type.
I wrote a full breakdown of where to park cash in 2026 with specific bank names and rates:
→ Where to Park $10,000 in 2026 — Best Safe Returns
The Hybrid Strategy (What I Actually Do)
Monthly income allocation:
├── Emergency fund (FD): 6 months expenses ✓ (done)
├── Short-term goals < 3 years: FD/debt funds
├── Long-term goals 5+ years: SIP in index funds
└── Opportunistic: Extra lump sum during 10%+ market dips
This isn't SIP vs FD. It's SIP AND FD, each for the right purpose.
Try It Yourself
I built a calculator that runs this comparison with your actual numbers — your monthly amount, your expected rates, your time horizon. Shows you the exact difference year by year.
→ SIP Calculator — See your wealth projection in 10 seconds.
→ FD Calculator — Compare fixed deposit returns across banks.
For the complete SIP vs FD analysis with tax implications, risk scenarios, and allocation strategies:
→ SIP vs FD — Which Investment Gives Better Returns in 2026?
All calculators are free, private (zero tracking), and work offline.
Built with calciq.app — privacy-first financial calculators.
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