Is Bitcoin in a Bear Market? (March 2026)
Yes. As of right now, the Regime classifier reads BEAR at 71% confidence.
Check it yourself:
curl https://getregime.com/api/v1/market/regime
What the Signals Show
The classifier uses 10 weighted signals. Here's the current breakdown:
- SMA 50/200: Death cross (bearish) — 20% weight
- Fear & Greed: 10/100, Extreme Fear (bearish) — 10% weight
- BTC Dominance: 56.5%, rising (bearish — flight to safety) — 10% weight
- Funding Rates: Negative (neutral to bearish) — 10% weight
- Volume: Below 7-day average (neutral) — 10% weight
- Volatility: ATR expansion (bearish) — 10% weight
3 bearish, 2 neutral, 1 bullish = BEAR at 71% confidence.
How Long Has It Been Bear?
From our 6,700+ market snapshots (collected since March 2, 2026): the market has been classified as bear 98% of the time. Brief chop periods account for the other 2%. Not a single bull classification in 25 days.
What This Means
- Reduce long exposure — position sizes should be 10-15% of normal
- Don't catch the knife — Extreme Fear alone doesn't signal a bottom
- Wait for the regime flip — the shift from bear to chop (then chop to bull) is the signal
- Protect capital — the best trade in a bear market is often no trade
Track This Live
Free API — no signup needed:
curl https://getregime.com/api/v1/market/regime
Get regime shift alerts: t.me/regime_crypto
Full intelligence (Pro): getregime.com/pricing
Try Regime Intelligence
Regime is a real-time crypto market regime detection API. One endpoint tells you if the market is bull, bear, or chop — so your bot only trades when conditions match your strategy.
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