The Weekend Window Where Synthetic Prices Drift From Reality
When TradFi markets close (Friday 21:00 UTC) and reopen (Sunday 23:00 UTC), HIP-3 synthetics tracking TradFi assets like SP500 don't just sit still — book depth thins out and the synthetic price can drift from Friday's close in ways that create a real, measurable edge.
What the Weekend Arbitrage Skeleton does
- Detects the weekend window (TradFi closed)
- Measures the synthetic's drift against Friday's close, in basis points
- Emits a long/short signal once drift clears a threshold, with an expected-accuracy estimate attached
- Sizes the trade using your risk budget and current order book depth — not a fixed size regardless of liquidity
Like the other tools in this line, it's a planning skeleton, not an auto-trader: it never signs or sends orders on its own, and it isn't financial advice.
Requirements: Python 3.9+, zero external dependencies.
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