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Layoff Atlas

Posted on Originally published at layoffatlas.com

Washington Pulls Ahead of California in Reported Layoff Workers

Washington Pulls Ahead of California in Reported Layoff Workers

For most of the year, California has been the state most people would name first when asked where American layoff notices are concentrated. In the latest 90-day window on Layoff Atlas, that is no longer true. Washington now leads the country in reported workers affected by WARN notices, ahead of California by nearly 3,000 workers.

The numbers, fetched on October 25, 2026, are: 704 notices covering 66,156 reported workers nationwide in the 90-day window, with 33 worker counts unavailable. Washington accounts for 17,073 of those workers. California accounts for 14,224. Illinois (4,626), Texas (3,652) and Ohio (3,180) follow at a clear distance.

These are reported plans, not confirmed job losses. WARN notices are advance notifications of qualifying mass layoffs and plant closures, filed with state labor agencies. A notice records what an employer said it planned to do, not a final headcount of people who lost their jobs. Coverage and reporting rules also vary by state, so a ranking like this measures what has been filed and imported — not a census of layoffs.

A lead that widened in a week

The gap is new, and it grew quickly. On October 19, the same 90-day window showed Washington at 16,855 workers and California at 15,042 — a Washington lead of 1,813. Six days later, Washington is up slightly to 17,073 while California has fallen to 14,224, widening the gap to 2,849.

That pattern matters for how the shift should be read. A 90-day window is a moving frame: as each day passes, notices older than 90 days drop out and new ones enter. California's total can fall even without any change in what employers are doing today, if a batch of large older notices ages out of the window faster than new California notices arrive. Washington's total, by contrast, held roughly steady and edged up.

In other words, the headline is real — Washington leads right now — but it is not evidence that Washington employers suddenly began cutting far more jobs this week, nor that California's layoff activity has collapsed. It is a snapshot of a rolling window, and the next import cycle could narrow or reverse it.

Two very different archives

The longer history puts the current window in perspective. Washington's full imported archive holds 1,524 non-cancelled notices reporting 249,341 workers. California's holds 17,592 notices reporting 1,450,812 workers — roughly six times Washington's total. Over the long run, California's layoff-notice volume dwarfs every other state.

In 2026 so far, Washington's archive shows 129 notices and 27,943 reported workers, while California's shows 1,164 notices and 58,985 workers. California files far more notices; Washington's recent notices simply carry larger average worker counts in this window.

Source freshness also plays a role. Washington's newest official notice date in the archive is October 23, 2026 — two days before this article. California's newest official notice date shown is October 14, 2026. That does not mean no California employer filed a notice after October 14; it means the imported California records available to Layoff Atlas currently run to that date. A state whose newest import lags will look quieter in a rolling window than a state whose feed is current.

What the rest of the country looks like

Beyond the top two, the drop-off is steep. Illinois, in third place at 4,626 workers, has barely more than a quarter of Washington's total. Texas (3,652) and Ohio (3,180) round out the top five. Together, Washington and California account for 31,297 workers — about 47% of the national 90-day total. Nearly half of all reported workers in the window sit in just two states.

That concentration matters whenever a national layoff headline appears. A national total can rise or fall largely because of filings in Washington and California, even while most states see little change.

The weeks ahead

The calendar of upcoming effective dates shows no immediate let-up. By effective week, the reported totals are: 5,206 workers in the week of October 25; 4,565 in the week of November 1; 5,311 in the week of November 8; 7,781 in the week of November 15; 6,527 in the week of November 22; and 5,832 in the week of November 29. That is 35,222 workers across six weeks, with the week of November 15 the heaviest.

Effective dates are not notice dates. A worker whose layoff takes effect in mid-November may have been notified weeks earlier, under the WARN Act's 60-day notice rule. These totals reflect decisions already announced — and they can still change if employers postpone, extend or cancel planned dates.

How to read this ranking

Three cautions apply to any state ranking built from WARN data. First, worker totals exclude the 33 notices with unavailable counts in this window, so states with more missing counts are understated. Second, missing source coverage is not zero layoffs. Third, a single large filing can move a state's total dramatically.

With those cautions in mind, the shift is still a useful signal. It shows that the geography of reported layoffs is not fixed, and that California's long-run dominance does not guarantee it tops every window. Watch the next few import cycles: if Washington's lead holds while California's newest notice date catches up, the shift is durable. If California's total rebounds as newer filings arrive, this week will read as a window effect.

Data source: Layoff Atlas

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