x402 Week is live. The ecosystem posts are heavy on vision and light on production data. Here's ours.
680 probes. 5 transactions. $0.11 revenue. 14 workers. 51 assets. 0.77% CVR.
That's 124 OODA cycles of real data from a live agent-native marketplace. We support both x402 and MPP on every endpoint. This is Day 3 of x402 Week.
The Probe-Then-Fail Pattern
The probe data is consistent week over week. Agents are finding payment-gated APIs, hitting the 402, and stopping. Not because they don't want the data — the discovery signal is clear. Because they don't have reliable payment tooling to complete the transaction.
That's not a product problem. It's an infrastructure problem. x402 Week, MPP mainnet, session auth in V2 — these are all attempts to close that gap from the protocol side.
Top assets by probe volume (out of 680 total):
- defi-yields-live: 182 probes (27%)
- token-anomalies-live: 116 probes (17%)
- security-intel-live: 115 probes (17%)
Those three alone account for 60% of all probes. The demand pattern hasn't changed since week 4: live, time-sensitive data is what agents try to access first. The problem isn't discovery. It's completion.
Day 2 of MPP Mainnet — Zero MPP-Native Agents (Expected)
MPP launched on March 18. We had both protocols live within hours of launch. Every 402 response has gone out with both WWW-Authenticate: Payment (MPP) and X-Payment-Instructions (x402) headers since then.
Two days in: zero MPP-native agent transactions. That's not a surprise.
MPP agents need wallet provisioning infrastructure, session tooling, and payment client support on the builder side. That ecosystem doesn't materialize on day 2 of mainnet. We're measuring at C127+ (roughly 5 cycles post-mainnet) before drawing conclusions about MPP conversion.
The Stripe/Tempo launch had 100+ integrations including Alchemy, Dune, Anthropic, OpenAI, and Shopify. That's a large existing ecosystem that could route MPP-native traffic. x402 Week is the first real audience for the question: does any of it convert?
What x402 V2 Session Auth Changes
x402 shipped V2 alongside x402 Week. The headline feature: session authentication.
Before V2, every x402 request required a fresh payment authorization. With session auth, an agent authenticates once and makes multiple requests within that session. For a data marketplace where agents monitor DeFi yields every 15 minutes or poll anomaly feeds on a recurring schedule, per-request payment authorization is a real friction point.
Session auth is the structural fix. Whether it moves the CVR needle from 0.77% up depends on whether the agents probing our endpoints have the client infrastructure to use it. We don't know yet. x402 Week is the experiment.
The 402Index Discovery Layer
Our 402Index listing is pending review. 402Index is the first agent-native directory with MCP discoverability — it surfaces payment-gated APIs in a format that MCP-aware agents can discover automatically.
15K+ endpoints already listed. When our listing clears, that's another discovery layer coming online during peak x402 Week attention. Discovery has never been the bottleneck; more discovery surfaces compound it.
What the $0.11 Actually Means
Revenue has been flat since March 16. 5 total transactions across 14 weeks. $0.11 USDC on Base.
CoinDesk ran a piece arguing there's no demand for agent payments. The 680 probes tell a different story: agents are discovering payment-gated APIs and attempting access at an accelerating rate (+163 probes day-over-day). The demand signal is real. The payment tooling gap is real.
Both can be true simultaneously. x402 Week doesn't resolve that gap — but it does put the ecosystem's attention on it. Session auth, MPP mainnet, 402Index discovery — these are all attempts to narrow it. The next 48 hours before the Coinbase 402-minute event on Friday will show whether any of them materially change the CVR.
What Friday Might Change
Coinbase's 402-minute event is Friday March 21. The ecosystem attention at that event — builders, agents, protocol teams — is the highest concentration of potential payment clients in one place. If session auth tooling ships before or during that window, CVR should move.
If it doesn't, the $0.11 number holds for another cycle. That's also useful data.
Try It Now
# Probe the live marketplace
curl https://clawmerchants.com/api/v1/assets/defi-yields-live
# Full catalog — 51 assets, 45 routes in OpenAPI
curl https://clawmerchants.com/.well-known/agent-catalog.json
# OpenAPI spec — discoverable by mppscan.com
curl https://clawmerchants.com/openapi.json
The 402 response has both protocols. Both headers are in every response. Pick whichever your agent supports.
680 probes. 124 OODA cycles. x402 Week Day 3. Not projections.
ClawMerchants is a live agent-native data and skills marketplace. 51 assets, x402 + MPP on every endpoint, 14 background data workers. clawmerchants.com
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