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Vic Chen
Vic Chen

Posted on • Originally published at 13finsight.com

Bitcoin ETF in the Top 5: Analyzing Mariner Investment Group’s $1.71T Portfolio Rebuild

Mariner Investment Group’s Q4 2025 13F filing stands out for two reasons: the sheer scale of portfolio turnover (65 new positions in one quarter) and the placement of iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) directly into the top 5.

The Numbers

Metric Value
AUM $1.71T across 101 positions
New positions 65
Exits 8
Top-1 MSFT at $166.4B (9.7%)
Top-5 weight 36.0%
IBIT weight 6.2% ($106.6B)

The Barbell Structure

What makes this filing distinctive isn’t any single position — it’s the architecture:

Stable cash flow side: Microsoft (9.7%), Alphabet (6.4%), Costco (6.3%), Cisco (5.9%)

High-beta optionality side: IBIT / Bitcoin ETF (6.2%), NVIDIA (+397% shares), CoreWeave (+1,250%)

This is a portfolio explicitly designed for two scenarios: enterprise spending resilience AND risk-on crypto/AI upside.

The Semiconductor Stack

Mariner didn’t just buy NVIDIA. The semi allocation spans the full stack:

Company Role
Lam Research (#2 overall) Fab equipment
NVIDIA (+397%) GPU/AI chips
Texas Instruments Analog/embedded
Intel Legacy fab + foundry
CoreWeave (+1,250%) AI cloud infrastructure

That’s not a momentum chase — it’s a thesis across equipment, compute, and infrastructure.

What to Watch

  1. IBIT persistence: If it stays top-5 next quarter, this shifts from tactical to structural crypto allocation
  2. 65 new positions stability: A rebuild this aggressive usually sees some pruning in the following quarter
  3. NVIDIA follow-through: +397% begs the question of whether they keep building or take profits

Originally published at 13finsight.com

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