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Marina Kim(Eunji)
Marina Kim(Eunji)

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[Personal Project #18] UEFA Women’s EURO 2025 Semifinal – Spain’s Possession Shaken: Dramatic Goal at the End

In the UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 semifinal, Spain defeated Germany 1–0 thanks to a dramatic goal in the 113th minute. But this match was more than just a win — it was a real test of Spain’s football style and identity.


1. Before the Match: Two Very Different Styles

Stat Spain (Avg.) Germany (Avg.)
Goals 4.0 1.5
Shots 24.5 17.0
Shots on Target 8.0 4.25
xG 3.21 2.09
Big Chances 4.0 2.75
Possession 74.3% 54.8%
Pass Accuracy 88.8% 75.8%
  • Spain: A team that controls the game with high possession and clean passing
  • Germany: A team that presses hard, defends well, and tries to disrupt the opponent’s rhythm

2. Match Day Data – A Day Spain’s Possession Was Broken

Period Spain Possession Shots On Target xG
1st Half 77% 12 5 1.90
2nd Half 63% 5 2 0.49
Extra Time 58% 5 2 0.65
Total 66% 22 9 2.23
  • Spain usually controls over 74% possession, but this time it dropped to 66% — a sign that they struggled to play their usual tempo.
  • Germany attacked more in the second half and extra time, with 13 of their 15 shots coming in that period.
  • Spain’s xG in the second half was only 0.49, far below their average of 3.21.

Defensive Stats of Germany

Category 1st Half 2nd Half Extra Time Comparison & Interpretation
Tackle Success Rate 57% 44% 64% Similar or higher than Spain (75%, 43%, 43%), showing consistent defensive pressure
Clearances 11 13 10 Significantly more than Spain, actively clearing danger from critical areas
Interceptions 7 1 3 Effectively disrupting Spain’s passes, controlling the flow of the game
Save 5 2 1 The goalkeeper made crucial saves

👉 This match was proof that Germany successfully broke Spain’s rhythm and controlled the game on their terms.


Graph Explanation

1) Consistent shot attempts & high xG

  • The graph shows Spain’s cumulative xG rising quickly after around the 40th minute in the first half and again in early extra time.
  • This means Spain had many shots and created strong scoring chances during these times.

2) Fewer shooting chances in the middle of the second half

  • However, after the middle of the second half, the cumulative xG almost stopped rising, which means Spain’s shooting chances decreased.
  • This shows how Germany’s strong defense reduced Spain’s chances, which is why Spain scored only one goal.

3. Athenea: A Game-Changing Substitution

Player Subbed In Assist Dribbles (Success) xG Involvement Touches
Athenea del Castillo 77th min 1 4 (1 success) 0.5 26
  • Athenea entered the game with just over 40 minutes left and made the key assist.
  • Her quick reaction and smart pass gave Aitana Bonmatí the space she needed to score the winning goal.
  • One moment of brilliance changed everything.

4. Why Was It So Difficult?

👉_This part reflects my own opinion and interpretation._

(1) Grass Surface – Spain Lost Their Rhythm

  • This was Spain’s first match on natural grass in the tournament. All previous games were on artificial turf.
  • On natural grass, the ball moves differently, and players need to adjust their speed and touches.
  • Since Spain’s game relies on sharp passing and rhythm, I believe the grass made it harder for them to play smoothly.

(2) Germany’s Tactical Response – Breaking Down Spain’s Style

  • In the second half, Germany pressed harder in midfield and closed passing lanes.
  • With 64 clearances, 44% tackle success, and 13 interceptions, they clearly came prepared to defend as a team.
  • I think Spain’s lower possession (66%) was the result of Germany’s pressure — and a shock to a team used to total control.

(3) Low Finishing & Fatigue – So Many Shots, Only One Goal

  • Spain had 22 shots and 9 on target, but just one goal.
  • Compared to their usual 4 goals per game, this was clearly below their usual standard.
  • With the match going into extra time, tired legs affected their finishing and focus.
  • Germany’s physical defending also wore them down.

5. One More Thing – England Is More Dangerous, but Weaker in Defense

Stat Germany(Avg) England(Avg)
Goals 1.5 3.25
Expected Goals 2.09 2.92
Big Chances 2.0 5.0
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.83
xG Conceded 1.21 1.52
  • England plays with a more attacking and aggressive style. They create more big chances and score more goals than Germany.
  • However, their defense is weaker. They allow more chances and concede more goals.
  • If England tries to break Spain’s possession like Germany did, they may leave more space behind their defense.
  • 👉 Spain needs to do more than defend. They should try to quickly attack England’s weak defense when they get the chance.

Final Thoughts: Spain’s Control Was Broken — But Talent Won the Day

Spain couldn’t play their usual game — but Athenea and Aitana’s individual brilliance saved them.
The final against England will be even tougher. England is more aggressive and scores more.

So now, the key question is:

"Can Spain get their rhythm back?"


🙋‍♀️About Me

Hi, I’m Marina Kim (Eunji), a sports data content creator learning and sharing football stories through data.

Tools: Python, pandas, matplotlib, Seaborn
Data Source: Flashscore, fbret
Github: https://github.com/k-eunji/ger_es_sf

I’m open to new opportunities in sports data and content creation. Let’s connect if you’re interested!

Sure! Here’s the title and table in English as you requested:


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