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Ruslan Averin

Financial analyst covering Japanese equities, commodities, and global markets. Independent research at averin.com

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The 10-Year at 4.55% — Reading the Bond Market's Verdict

The 10-Year at 4.55% — Reading the Bond Market's Verdict

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3 min read
US Shale — The Oil Barrel With No Chokepoint Attached

US Shale — The Oil Barrel With No Chokepoint Attached

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2 min read
Tanker Rates Are the Cleanest Way to Own a Chokepoint Crisis

Tanker Rates Are the Cleanest Way to Own a Chokepoint Crisis

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3 min read
The Second Logistics Front — Red Sea Tankers and Kazakhstan's Pipeline

The Second Logistics Front — Red Sea Tankers and Kazakhstan's Pipeline

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3 min read
Brent Near $100 — What It Does to Inflation and the Fed's Hands

Brent Near $100 — What It Does to Inflation and the Fed's Hands

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3 min read
The Rotation Out of Semiconductors — Signal or Trap

The Rotation Out of Semiconductors — Signal or Trap

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2 min read
Who Gets Paid While the AI Buildout Is Still Unproven

Who Gets Paid While the AI Buildout Is Still Unproven

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3 min read
Oracle Is Spending 86 Cents of Every Revenue Dollar on Capex

Oracle Is Spending 86 Cents of Every Revenue Dollar on Capex

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2 min read
Alphabet Fell 5% on Good News — What the Capex Raise Actually Costs

Alphabet Fell 5% on Good News — What the Capex Raise Actually Costs

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2 min read
The AI Capex Bill Came Due — And Revenue Didn't Show Up

The AI Capex Bill Came Due — And Revenue Didn't Show Up

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3 min read
Micron — Sold-Out HBM and a Trillion-Dollar Cap

Micron — Sold-Out HBM and a Trillion-Dollar Cap

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3 min read
Western Digital — 2026 HDD Output Is Already Sold Out

Western Digital — 2026 HDD Output Is Already Sold Out

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2 min read
Super Micro — When Gross Margin Nearly Doubles Overnight

Super Micro — When Gross Margin Nearly Doubles Overnight

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3 min read
SanDisk — The NAND Pure-Play Riding the AI Memory Squeeze

SanDisk — The NAND Pure-Play Riding the AI Memory Squeeze

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3 min read
IREN — The Bitcoin Miner That Became an AI Cloud Landlord

IREN — The Bitcoin Miner That Became an AI Cloud Landlord

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2 min read
Where Patient Capital Goes When AI Hardware Gets Crowded — The Kyiv Property Case

Where Patient Capital Goes When AI Hardware Gets Crowded — The Kyiv Property Case

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2 min read
Lockheed Martin — The Cheap Interceptor Maker With a Broken Quarter

Lockheed Martin — The Cheap Interceptor Maker With a Broken Quarter

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3 min read
Occidental — Catching the Oil Spike With Zero Hormuz Risk

Occidental — Catching the Oil Spike With Zero Hormuz Risk

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3 min read
RTX — The Company That Builds the Interceptor Fired Over the Gulf

RTX — The Company That Builds the Interceptor Fired Over the Gulf

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3 min read
Cheniere — America's LNG Answer When Hormuz Threatens Qatar's Gas

Cheniere — America's LNG Answer When Hormuz Threatens Qatar's Gas

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3 min read
Frontline — The Purest Bet on a Choked Strait of Hormuz

Frontline — The Purest Bet on a Choked Strait of Hormuz

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3 min read
Energy Recovery — A Near-Monopoly on Desalination, in the Middle of a Reset

Energy Recovery — A Near-Monopoly on Desalination, in the Middle of a Reset

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3 min read
American States Water — 71 Years of Raises, and a Hidden Growth Engine

American States Water — 71 Years of Raises, and a Hidden Growth Engine

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3 min read
California Water Service — A 59-Year Dividend King With an Ugly Quarter

California Water Service — A 59-Year Dividend King With an Ugly Quarter

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3 min read
Mueller Water — Betting on Iron Pipes While Everyone Chases Chips

Mueller Water — Betting on Iron Pipes While Everyone Chases Chips

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3 min read
Veralto — The Quiet Water-Quality Compounder Nobody Talks About

Veralto — The Quiet Water-Quality Compounder Nobody Talks About

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3 min read
Stocks Down, Oil Up — The Market's Two-Front Week

Stocks Down, Oil Up — The Market's Two-Front Week

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2 min read
The Semiconductor Selloff — When the Market's Winners Become the Fault Line

The Semiconductor Selloff — When the Market's Winners Become the Fault Line

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2 min read
SpaceX Fell Below Its IPO Price — The Hype Trade Meets Gravity

SpaceX Fell Below Its IPO Price — The Hype Trade Meets Gravity

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2 min read
Pentair Fell 21% — A Guidance Cut and a CFO Out the Door on the Same Day

Pentair Fell 21% — A Guidance Cut and a CFO Out the Door on the Same Day

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2 min read
AppLovin Dropped 13% on Nothing — When the AI Trade Sells the Best First

AppLovin Dropped 13% on Nothing — When the AI Trade Sells the Best First

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2 min read
IBM's 25% Crash — Its Worst Day Ever, and What It Says About AI

IBM's 25% Crash — Its Worst Day Ever, and What It Says About AI

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2 min read
Vertex Buys Crinetics for $10B — A Clean Look at the Deal and the Spread

Vertex Buys Crinetics for $10B — A Clean Look at the Deal and the Spread

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3 min read
22% Earnings Growth — And Why Most of It Rides on One Theme

22% Earnings Growth — And Why Most of It Rides on One Theme

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3 min read
The Banks Just Told Us the Freeze Is Over

The Banks Just Told Us the Freeze Is Over

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3 min read
The AI Trade Moved On — Now It's About Power, Memory and Cooling

The AI Trade Moved On — Now It's About Power, Memory and Cooling

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3 min read
TSMC's June: Sales Up 68% and the AI Buildout Still Isn't Slowing

TSMC's June: Sales Up 68% and the AI Buildout Still Isn't Slowing

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3 min read
Morgan Stanley's Record Quarter — The Print That Reset the Bank Trade

Morgan Stanley's Record Quarter — The Print That Reset the Bank Trade

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3 min read
Toyota: почему и когда я бы покупал акции — разбор 2026

Toyota: почему и когда я бы покупал акции — разбор 2026

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1 min read
Burry's MSFT Calls: What I Make of the Contrarian's Bet

Burry's MSFT Calls: What I Make of the Contrarian's Bet

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4 min read
Ukraine's Central Bank Held at 15% — Why the Hold Matters More Than a Cut Would Have

Ukraine's Central Bank Held at 15% — Why the Hold Matters More Than a Cut Would Have

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3 min read
Meta at $583 — The Market Is Pricing AI Spend as Value Destruction, and It's Wrong

Meta at $583 — The Market Is Pricing AI Spend as Value Destruction, and It's Wrong

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2 min read
єОселя как политика доступного жилья: фискальная устойчивость и кто несёт субсидию

єОселя как политика доступного жилья: фискальная устойчивость и кто несёт субсидию

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1 min read
єОселя и рынок жилья Киева 2026: как льготная ипотека двигает спрос и цены

єОселя и рынок жилья Киева 2026: как льготная ипотека двигает спрос и цены

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1 min read
Кривая доходности ОВГЗ 2026: что рынок закладывает в гривневые и долларовые облигации

Кривая доходности ОВГЗ 2026: что рынок закладывает в гривневые и долларовые облигации

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1 min read
ОВГЗ как класс активов: фиксированный доход фронтирного рынка

ОВГЗ как класс активов: фиксированный доход фронтирного рынка

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1 min read
Инвестиционный ландшафт Украины 2026: суверенный долг ОВГЗ и жилищный комплекс єОселя

Инвестиционный ландшафт Украины 2026: суверенный долг ОВГЗ и жилищный комплекс єОселя

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1 min read
єОселя или аренда в 2026: что выгоднее по расчётам

єОселя или аренда в 2026: что выгоднее по расчётам

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1 min read
Как купить квартиру через єОселя: пошагово в 2026

Как купить квартиру через єОселя: пошагово в 2026

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1 min read
єОселя 2026: новые правила государственной доступной ипотеки в Украине

єОселя 2026: новые правила государственной доступной ипотеки в Украине

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1 min read
Портфель ОВГЗ в 2026: стратегия лестницы сроков и баланса гривны и доллара

Портфель ОВГЗ в 2026: стратегия лестницы сроков и баланса гривны и доллара

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1 min read
Как купить ОВГЗ в 2026 году: пошаговая инструкция для частного инвестора

Как купить ОВГЗ в 2026 году: пошаговая инструкция для частного инвестора

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1 min read
єОселя как класс активов: субсидируемая ипотека и фискальный механизм государства

єОселя как класс активов: субсидируемая ипотека и фискальный механизм государства

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1 min read
ОВГЗ: дюрация и риск реструктуризации — как правильно оценивать премию за риск

ОВГЗ: дюрация и риск реструктуризации — как правильно оценивать премию за риск

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1 min read
ОВГЗ в 2026: почему гособлигации — опора портфеля

ОВГЗ в 2026: почему гособлигации — опора портфеля

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1 min read
Как инвестировать в Украине 2026: два рабочих инструмента

Как инвестировать в Украине 2026: два рабочих инструмента

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1 min read
XPeng at $13 — Exports Surging, Home Sales Slipping, Stock Down 31%

XPeng at $13 — Exports Surging, Home Sales Slipping, Stock Down 31%

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2 min read
NIO at $5 — Record Deliveries, Relentless Losses, and a Pentagon Cloud

NIO at $5 — Record Deliveries, Relentless Losses, and a Pentagon Cloud

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2 min read
Li Auto at $13.58 — From Profit Machine to 'Show Me' at the 52-Week Low

Li Auto at $13.58 — From Profit Machine to 'Show Me' at the 52-Week Low

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2 min read
BYD at HK$82 — Exports Are Exploding, So Why Is the Stock Down 26%?

BYD at HK$82 — Exports Are Exploding, So Why Is the Stock Down 26%?

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2 min read
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