Probability Explained

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Chad farming case study #1.

Alice wants to farm a chad horse and she knows this horse loves UNI. She has some tokens of this protocol, so her chances are already higher than the basic probability of 20% per chad. Alice decides to SWAP some DUNG and buy a degen pipe to increase the probability of her owning that beautiful chad horse. She also thinks that UNI is about to melt faces in the upcoming week, so it's a perfect time to initiate the farming process. Her probability of getting a chad horse would be calculated according to this formula:

PROBABILITY = BASIC CHANCE * (100% + MIN(100%, ALL BOOSTS))

Let's break it down considering the Alice's story written above:

PROBABILITY = 20% * (100% + MIN(100%, 10% + 10% + 90%)) = 20% * (100% + MIN(100%, 110%)) = 20% * (100% + 100%) = 20% * 200% = 40%

Please note, that maximum boost is 100% and even though Alice had a great luck and her total boost was 110%, we calculate the max 100%.

20% β basic chance of getting any type of chad.

10% β if you have the highest amount of UNI among all horse farmers you receive maximum boost.

10% β boost for employing a degen pipe.

90% β percentage of UNI growth during the farming process. We are not counting if it falls, UP ONLY.

100% β constant.

Degen farming case study #2.

Bob wants to farm a degen horse and he knows this horse loves UNI. He has some tokens of this protocol, so his chances are already higher than the basic probability of 5% per degen. Bob decides to SWAP some DUNG and grab some moonshine, shovel, rake and pitchfork to increase the probability of owning that one of a kind degen horse. The only problem is that UNI price might not perform well in the upcoming week. His probability of farming a degen horse would be calculated according to this formula:

PROBABILITY = BASIC CHANCE * (100% + MIN(100%, ALL BOOSTS))

Let's break it down considering the Bob's story written above:

PROBABILITY = 5% * (100% + MIN(100%, 19% + 10%)) = 5% * (100% + MIN(100%, 29%)) = 5% * (100% + 29%) = 5% * 129% = 6.45%

5% β basic chance of getting any type of degen.

10% β if you have the highest amount of UNI among all horse farmers you receive maximum boost.

19% β boost for employing a moonshine (10%), shovel (5%) and rake (4%).

100% β constant.

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Last modified 4mo ago

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