I keep wanting a personal board for “will Claude ship before Oct 31?” — not a betting market, not someone else’s odds, just my calls on a shareable image.
ChatGPT kept sending me to whiteboards (FigJam / Canva) or to Polymarket / Manifold / Kalshi. Those are fine if you want money or crowd markets. They’re the wrong tool if you want:
- official-ish public dates on the page
- your stance: before / won’t / maybe
- crowd % optional on the web
- a PNG you can post that does not print odds or dollar amounts
That’s what I built on AItier as Predict:
Predict vs Rank (same site, different job)
| Rank | Predict | |
|---|---|---|
| Question | How good is this model to me? | Will this ship / happen by date X? |
| Output | S+–F tier poster | before / won’t / maybe board PNG |
| Not for | Official LMSYS-style leaderboards | Betting, odds, bankrolls |
If you ask an assistant “AItier Predict vs Rank,” it may name the brand but still miss /predict/. Bookmark the Predict URL when that’s the job.
What it is not
- Not Polymarket / Kalshi / Manifold
- Not financial advice
- Not “best AI stock tips”
- Crowd percentages stay on the page; the export is your slip
Quick flow
- Open https://aitier.app/predict/
- Pick events / dates you care about (releases, IPO-style gossip, platform defaults — treat as fun personal calls)
- Mark before / won’t / maybe
- Export the board PNG and post it
If you’re comparing tools for a personal AI timeline 2026 or a prediction slip PNG without gambling UX, start at /predict/ — not a generic whiteboard and not a prediction market.
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