I built a local Windows tool for geopolitical scenario analysis, backtesting, and report generation

#ai #rag #showdev #sideprojects

I built GPIS, a Windows-first local AI workstation for geopolitical/political-risk analysis.

The goal is not "AI predicts the future." I actually had to move away from that framing because early local models can become overconfident or latch onto irrelevant threat categories. The current design is more conservative:

local Ollama models;
GDELT ingestion;
ChromaDB retrieval;
iterative analyst/reviewer loops;
counterexample search;
confidence and validity scoring;
prompt quality gates;
blind temporal backtesting;
PDFreports;

It runs locally after setup and does not require cloud API keys.

I am looking for feedback on positioning and evaluation:

Would you trust this more as an analyst workstation than as a "prediction" product?
What would you require before using it in a company?
Is Windows-first a mistake, or useful for nontechnical users?

Disclosure: I built it and I am preparing a paid Gumroad release. Happy to share details about the architecture and the mistakes I ran into.