For several years we have been promised revolutions! Everybody can be a programmer. Apps for everything. No need for SaaS anymore. AI revolutionising our daily life in every aspect, managing Calendars, Emails, Business Trips, Holidays… our every aspect of existence.
Revolution of what?
Where is this revolution at? Not AGI, that is something completely different and just for narration purposes.
But I don’t see us solving poverty. I don’t consume energy from a Nuclear Fusion reactor. This has not been written on a Quantum Computer. And cancer is still a very dangerous and often lethal disease. So, what is AI revolutionising?
And its not just an old developer rambling, I use AI :)
I have no reservations; I use Claude nearly every day. But what are we actually “creating”? It seems AI has just sped up the same monotonous tasks. AI can auto complete, can write code, but it cannot fix humans thinking.
Evolution for what?
Wow, Claude Cowork can manage your Emails… you still use Emails?
Perplexity Computer can create your KPI dashboard? I hope you got the right data.
You got 10 agents running developing apps? For what? There are over 2 million freaking apps.
What are you building that hasn’t been built but benefits its users?
So much LinkedIn Business BS replicating itself. Instead of 5 “maybe good” health apps, we get 500 “so-so” versions. Instead of reducing meetings, we automate meetings with more AI notetakers talking to each other. Instead of hiring for what is necessary, we create AI CVs scanned by AI HRs evaluating humans on “human parameters”. As if we know what we really need…
Automation is (no) revolution
All I see is automation of monkey work. Again, don’t get me wrong: some monkey work needs to be done. Typing these letters is some kind of monkey work to pass on my thoughts (and yes, I am really typing this by hand, no AI as you can tell from the errors ;).
Automation is good! A lot of human evolution is based on automation. I don’t want to type every single test, check, code-line myself if not necessary or “just the same”. And if I could rely on the current state of AI, I wouldn’t… but I cannot!
What is real revolution?
Today’s so-called “AI” revolution is largely about scaling transformers, statistical models, big data and compute. Extraordinary at pattern recognition and reasoning analogies, yet probabilistic engines, not intelligences.
We have not built artificial cognition yet! What we call “AI” today is a sophisticated layer of prediction, not intelligence in the biological sense.
Beyond large language models we require new math, new architectures, and possibly new physics, as nuclear fusion and quantum computing. True artificial intelligence will require understanding how intelligence emerges, not just how it can be imitated. And let’s face it: imitating humans might not be the best ;)
The current wave is transformative, no doubt about it. But if it disappears today, industry will not stumble tomorrow.
The real shift will come when machines generate new concepts, hypotheses, and models of the world autonomously. That will not be “just another AI model”, not Claude 4.6 (and I like Claude ^^) or Gemini 3.1. It will be the next epoch in evolution!
Revolution in Wallets
Nevertheless, we need to face the hard truth: Software development, programmers, Juniors and more are all affected by life-changing business decisions. Layoffs on a weekly basis. Broken Windows patches on a regular basis. And it continues…
This is not a question of replacing Software Developers. It is a question of number crunching and AI just happens to be around at the right time.
It’s storytelling, and the story works. If there would have been some other invention, that would have served as excuse.
Because of this, AI is shifting the whole world into a downward spiral. AI can be good. Evolution requires power and money. Money is spent. Markets change. Growth in numbers is the only direction allowed. More money is invested. (RAM) Prices increase. Layoffs happen. People have no money for the increased costs. Jobs are a necessity, so I take any job for less than before… the spiral works against us.
If I put on my Dr. Evil hat, AI is the perfect excuse to layoff all the expensive people hired during the C-Years, as my storytelling was about everlasting growth, which did not happen, and cheap money, which was swallowed by inflation. Just correcting the typical business mistakes of bad spreadsheets with misunderstood KPIs…
What’s next?
It is not a question of if AI can or will replace Software Developers.
It is a fight of Managers vs Spreadsheets vs Software... and we are losing... for now.
The funny thing is, what any Spreadsheet wrangler does is best replaced by AI, but so far it is just dripping down to the creative process. And we haven't taken ownership enough to make it our own again and steer the good and eventual evolution.
I don't know the answer how to get out of this spiral, but the world has gone crazy, and we are the ones being affected as have others before from industrial revolution to the internet age.
Maybe it is supposed to happen. But I would like to think we just need to get together to give "AI" real meaning, purpose and control the evolution to create benefits for all, not just creating more for less for nothing...
So, what’s next for you - What or how are you changing for the better? Have you seen the revolution?
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