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Is a live goal probability honest? Checking 341,846 readings
VAKYR
VAKYR
VAKYR
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Nov 2
Is a live goal probability honest? Checking 341,846 readings
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showdev
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datascience
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statistics
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sports
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2 min read
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Forecasting the U.S. Senate with Prediction Markets and Monte Carlo Simulations
Bart Czernicki
Bart Czernicki
Bart Czernicki
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Nov 2
Forecasting the U.S. Senate with Prediction Markets and Monte Carlo Simulations
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ai
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datascience
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statistics
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machinelearning
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10 min read
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How we score an election forecast (and what the score does not measure)
RESK
RESK
RESK
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Nov 2
How we score an election forecast (and what the score does not measure)
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ai
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forecasting
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statistics
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benchmark
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4 min read
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Instagram follower counts across 1,064,485 accounts: median 214, 78.9% under 1,000
UpGrow Team
UpGrow Team
UpGrow Team
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Nov 2
Instagram follower counts across 1,064,485 accounts: median 214, 78.9% under 1,000
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datascience
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analytics
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socialmedia
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statistics
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3 min read
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Peeking at your A/B test turns 5% false positives into 25%, and what mSPRT costs you
Tan Tran
Tan Tran
Tan Tran
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Nov 1
Peeking at your A/B test turns 5% false positives into 25%, and what mSPRT costs you
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datascience
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statistics
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abtesting
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python
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 reaction
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8 min read
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Amortised Inference: Why Training a Network to Infer Beats Running Optimisation Every Time
Umesh Tharuka Malaviarachchi
Umesh Tharuka Malaviarachchi
Umesh Tharuka Malaviarachchi
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Nov 1
Amortised Inference: Why Training a Network to Infer Beats Running Optimisation Every Time
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machinelearning
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datascience
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ai
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7 min read
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Out of how many? Multiple testing and the deflated Sharpe ratio
Quantooox
Quantooox
Quantooox
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Nov 1
Out of how many? Multiple testing and the deflated Sharpe ratio
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statistics
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datascience
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machinelearning
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beginners
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2 min read
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The Alert Was Ninety Five Percent Accurate and Almost Always Wrong
Serguey Asael Shinder
Serguey Asael Shinder
Serguey Asael Shinder
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Nov 1
The Alert Was Ninety Five Percent Accurate and Almost Always Wrong
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sergueyasaelshinder
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mindset
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statistics
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devops
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2 min read
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Understanding Coefficient of Variation
Boula Akladyous
Boula Akladyous
Boula Akladyous
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Nov 1
Understanding Coefficient of Variation
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datascience
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statistics
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machinelearning
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ai
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3 min read
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Causal Representation Learning: Why Observational Data Alone Cannot Identify Latent Causes
Umesh Tharuka Malaviarachchi
Umesh Tharuka Malaviarachchi
Umesh Tharuka Malaviarachchi
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Oct 31
Causal Representation Learning: Why Observational Data Alone Cannot Identify Latent Causes
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machinelearning
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datascience
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ai
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8 min read
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Is your new search actually better? Label gaps, LLM judge panels, and paired statistics for offline search evaluation
Naser Sadrmanesh
Naser Sadrmanesh
Naser Sadrmanesh
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Oct 31
Is your new search actually better? Label gaps, LLM judge panels, and paired statistics for offline search evaluation
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search
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python
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statistics
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machinelearning
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11 min read
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Thompson sampling for A/B tests in 40 lines of JavaScript (and the trap nobody mentions)
Baneet Singh
Baneet Singh
Baneet Singh
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Oct 31
Thompson sampling for A/B tests in 40 lines of JavaScript (and the trap nobody mentions)
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javascript
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statistics
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abtesting
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algorithms
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3 min read
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Kernel Mean Embeddings: Turning Distributions into Points You Can Compute With
Umesh Tharuka Malaviarachchi
Umesh Tharuka Malaviarachchi
Umesh Tharuka Malaviarachchi
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Oct 31
Kernel Mean Embeddings: Turning Distributions into Points You Can Compute With
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machinelearning
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datascience
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ai
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7 min read
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How many visitors does an A/B test actually need? (table + free calculator)
Baneet Singh
Baneet Singh
Baneet Singh
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Oct 31
How many visitors does an A/B test actually need? (table + free calculator)
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abtesting
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statistics
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javascript
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webdev
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3 min read
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Half of a hurricane season's energy sits in 14% of its storms, and it holds in every decade
Katsuki Bakugo
Katsuki Bakugo
Katsuki Bakugo
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Oct 30
Half of a hurricane season's energy sits in 14% of its storms, and it holds in every decade
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data
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python
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statistics
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climate
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3 min read
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