Mark my words. By the end of 2026, 80% of all software development will be done by AI.
There is a BIG shift going on right now and development jobs are disappearing FAST.
Your best bet in 2026 might be opening an authentic restaurant instead.
Any ideas? 😅
What do you think? Agree or completely wrong?
Top comments (9)
I think 80% is way too high. AI tools are impressive, but they still struggle with complex systems, architecture decisions and debugging real production issues.
Let me remind you this! 😁
Fair point. I agree that architecture and complex systems are still very human driven. My point is more that the volume of code written manually will drop dramatically. If AI generates most boilerplate, APIs, tests and scaffolding, we might still architect systems but write far less code ourselves.
I don’t think dev jobs will disappear. They’ll just change. We’ve seen this with every new abstraction layer in programming.
That is definitely possible. Development has always evolved. Assembly to C, C to frameworks, frameworks to cloud platforms. But this feels different because AI can now generate actual working code. The question is not whether developers remain relevant, but how many developers will still be needed.
I’m using AI daily and it still makes tons of mistakes. No way companies will rely on it for most production code within two years.
Right now I agree with you. The current tools still need heavy supervision. But the speed of improvement is what makes this interesting. If you compare coding assistants from two years ago with what we have today, the progress is pretty insane.
Authentic restaurant sounds safer than tech these days 😅
At least pasta does not suddenly refactor itself in production.
But jokes aside, it will be interesting to see whether developers become AI supervisors instead of code writers over the next few years.